Wataniya Insurance Company

8300.SR · Financial Services · · SAR

15.07 SAR

+0.00 (0.27%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:30 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 86

Momentum 72

Fundamental 83

Macro 59

Liquidity 18

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	85.5	30%
Momentum	71.7	15%
Fundamental	83.3	10%
Macro	59.4	20%
Liquidity	17.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	15.07
Stop Loss	14.15 (6.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	15.99 (+6.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	16.91 (+12.2%)

ATR(14)	0.46 (3.0%)
Risk per Share	0.92
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	86.5	+1.46
Momentum	71.7	+0.87
Quality	33.4	-0.67
Composite	63.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 39.77 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	15.2	18.0	-15% below
P/B Ratio	0.9	2.5	Below

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

20.37

Market Price

15.07

Upside

+35.2%

Margin of Safety	+26.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	222,871,645
Terminal Value PV	591,895,975
Total Enterprise Value	814,767,620

Assumptions

Base FCF	31,680,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

47.23%

Full Kelly

23.61%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 72/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

60.91

RSI(14)

0.3844

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+16.6% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (15d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+10.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	60.91	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.3844	BEARISH
Ma Cross	13.71 / 13.17	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.28x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	16.50
Bollinger Upper	15.4
SMA(200)	13.17
SMA(50)	13.71
SMA(20)	14.94
Current Price	15.07
Bollinger Lower	14.48
52-Week Low	11.09
ATR(14)	0.46

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	No Demand	0.42x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-02	No Demand	0.36x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-03	Normal	0.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	No Supply	0.28x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	14.91	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	13.45	Base line
Senkou A	14.18	Leading span A
Senkou B	13.29	Leading span B
Cloud	13.29 – 14.18	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	15.07	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	11.89	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 4 bars Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 14.48 – 15.4 | KC: 14.25 – 15.62

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 14.36 Anchor: 2026-08-02 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +4.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

EXHAUSTION Trend exhaustion (3 doji candles) Full data via /api/advanced/8300.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	602.80M
P/E (TTM)	15.22
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.90
EPS	0.99

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	56.4%
Profit Margin	1.7%
ROE	6.2%
Debt/Equity	1.42
Current Ratio	2.05
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	0.72

Trading Data

15.07

Open

15.07

Day High

15.07

Day Low

122.5K

Volume (0.3x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)