Watani Iron Steel Company NOMU
9513.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR
Nomu Parallel Market
QI Only
- This is a Nomu Parallel Market stock.
- Daily price limit: ±30% (vs ±10% on the Main Market).
- Restricted to Qualified Investors only.
- Lower liquidity increases execution risk — expect wider bid-ask spreads.
Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
53
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
54
Momentum
51
Fundamental
56
Macro
60
Liquidity
38
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 54.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 51.2 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 59.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 37.6 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 1.95 |
| Stop Loss | 1.79 (8.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 2.11 (+8.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 2.27 (+16.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.08 (4.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.16 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 57.7 | +0.31 | |
| Momentum | 51.2 | +0.05 | |
| Quality | 22.2 | -1.11 | |
| Composite | 43.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 39.0 | 18.0 | +117% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 | 2.5 | Below |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
1.03
vs
Market Price
1.95
Upside
-47.2%
| Margin of Safety | -89.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 51,116,963 |
| Terminal Value PV | 135,754,933 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 186,871,896 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 7,266,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.7%
Recommended Size
34.8%
Full Kelly
17.4%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
40.33
RSI(14)
-0.031
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
35
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (+5.6% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (22d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -0.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 40.33 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.031 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 2.11 / 1.92 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.6x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 2.40 |
| Bollinger Upper | 2.27 |
| SMA(200) | 1.92 |
| SMA(50) | 2.11 |
| SMA(20) | 2.09 |
| Current Price | 1.95 |
| Bollinger Lower | 1.92 |
| 52-Week Low | 1.50 |
| ATR(14) | 0.08 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
100%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.71x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.49x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.43x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-06 | Normal | 0.43x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-07 | Normal | 1.6x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 2.00 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 2.12 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 2.06 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 2.12 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 2.06 – 2.12 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 1.95 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 2.16 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 1.92 – 2.27 | KC: 1.99 – 2.19
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 2.02
Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-3.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9513.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 354.22M |
| P/E (TTM) | 39.00 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.35 |
| EPS | 0.05 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 67.0% |
| Profit Margin | 2.0% |
| ROE | 3.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 32.92 |
| Current Ratio | 1.02 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.13 |
Trading Data
1.95
Open
1.95
Day High
1.95
Day Low
116.9K
Volume (1.3x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)