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Alf Meem Yaa for Medical Supplies and Equipment Company NOMU

9527.SR · Healthcare · · SAR
74.90 SAR
+0.00 (0.00%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 10:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Nomu Parallel Market QI Only
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

28
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 16
Momentum 10
Fundamental 67
Macro 73
Liquidity 17
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 20%
Trend & RS 16.2 30%
Momentum 9.7 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 72.7 20%
Liquidity 17.2 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 74.90
Stop Loss 66.56 (11.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 83.24 (+11.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 91.58 (+22.3%)
ATR(14) 4.17 (5.6%)
Risk per Share 8.34
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 80.3 +1.21
Momentum 8.8 -1.65
Quality 61.3 +0.45
Composite 50.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 11.2 22.0 -49% below
P/B Ratio 2.9 4.0 Below
Dividend Yield 2.7% 1.5% Above avg

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
136.95
vs
Market Price
74.90
Upside
+82.8%
Margin of Safety +45.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)262,491,802
Terminal Value PV696,124,356
Total Enterprise Value958,616,158

Assumptions

Base FCF37,408,000
Growth Rate (5yr)24.9%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

2.7%
Recommended Size
14.49%
Full Kelly
7.24%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 28/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
33.66
RSI(14)
-3.5425
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

3
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs TASI ↓ FALLING (-30.1% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High No (52d since high)
Sector Outperformance -19.1% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 33.66 NEUTRAL
Macd -3.5425 BEARISH
Ma Cross 87.93 / 105.96 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 2.58x HIGH

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High140.00
Bollinger Upper88.04
SMA(200)105.96
SMA(50)87.93
SMA(20)81.2
Current Price74.90
Bollinger Lower74.36
52-Week Low70.55
ATR(14)4.17

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Stopping Volume 2.08x High volume, wide spread, but closes mid — absorption of supply
2026-05-06 Normal 0.46x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 0.51x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-10 Normal 0.99x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 2.58x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 77.17 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 79.10 Base line
Senkou A 78.14 Leading span A
Senkou B 93.17 Leading span B
Cloud 78.14 – 93.17 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 74.90 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 87.60 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 74.36 – 88.04  |  KC: 75.25 – 87.16

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish MACD 12
Regular Bullish MACD 13

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 89.78 Anchor: 2026-02-09 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -16.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/9527.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap524.30M
P/E (TTM)11.21
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.93
EPS6.68

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth24.9%
Profit Margin11.5%
ROE20.7%
Debt/Equity15.50
Current Ratio3.28
Dividend Yield2.7%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta-0.04

Trading Data

74.90
Open
74.90
Day High
74.90
Day Low
0.00
Volume (0.0x avg)

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Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —