Arabian Food and Dairy Factories Company NOMU
9536.SR · Consumer Defensive · · SAR
Nomu Parallel Market
QI Only
- This is a Nomu Parallel Market stock.
- Daily price limit: ±30% (vs ±10% on the Main Market).
- Restricted to Qualified Investors only.
- Lower liquidity increases execution risk — expect wider bid-ask spreads.
Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
51
/ 100
Technical
36
Trend & RS
34
Momentum
33
Fundamental
76
Macro
73
Liquidity
4
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 36.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 34.0 | 10% |
| Momentum | 33.2 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 76.0 | 40% |
| Macro | 72.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 4.0 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 44.00 |
| Stop Loss | 42.96 (2.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 45.04 (+2.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 46.08 (+4.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.52 (1.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.04 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 58.8 | +0.35 | |
| Momentum | 33.2 | -0.67 | |
| Quality | 39.8 | -0.41 | |
| Composite | 43.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.27
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 38.6 | 18.0 | +114% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.9 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 6.8% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
9.68
vs
Market Price
44.00
Upside
-78.0%
| Margin of Safety | -354.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,912,696 |
| Terminal Value PV | 8,734,798 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 13,647,494 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,285,920 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.7%
Recommended Size
33.08%
Full Kelly
16.54%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 51/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
66.18
RSI(14)
-0.0008
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
10
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (-10.1% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | No (49d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -5.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 66.18 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.0008 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 43.2 / 54.33 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.8x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 77.80 |
| Bollinger Upper | 43.9 |
| SMA(200) | 54.33 |
| SMA(50) | 43.2 |
| SMA(20) | 41.69 |
| Current Price | 44.00 |
| Bollinger Lower | 39.48 |
| 52-Week Low | 39.00 |
| ATR(14) | 0.52 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-06 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 8.37x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-10 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 0.8x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 41.50 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 41.94 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 41.72 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 45.48 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 41.72 – 45.48 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 44.00 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 44.88 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 39.48 – 43.9 | KC: 41.23 – 42.16
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 42.48
Anchor: 2026-05-07 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9536.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 62.04M |
| P/E (TTM) | 38.60 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.87 |
| EPS | 1.14 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 2.1% |
| Profit Margin | 2.5% |
| ROE | 4.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 48.02 |
| Current Ratio | 2.77 |
| Dividend Yield | 6.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | -0.37 |
Trading Data
44.00
Open
44.00
Day High
44.00
Day Low
0.00
Volume (0.0x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)