National Environmental Recycling Company NOMU
9540.SR · Industrials · · SAR
Nomu Parallel Market
QI Only
- This is a Nomu Parallel Market stock.
- Daily price limit: ±30% (vs ±10% on the Main Market).
- Restricted to Qualified Investors only.
- Lower liquidity increases execution risk — expect wider bid-ask spreads.
Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
69
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
74
Momentum
77
Fundamental
62
Macro
68
Liquidity
20
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 74.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 76.7 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 61.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 67.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 19.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 3.90 |
| Stop Loss | 3.68 (5.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 4.12 (+5.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 4.34 (+11.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.11 (2.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.22 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 71.7 | +0.87 | |
| Momentum | 76.7 | +1.07 | |
| Quality | 41.2 | -0.35 | |
| Composite | 63.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
3.97
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.6 | 18.0 | -19% below |
| P/B Ratio | 3.0 | 3.0 | Inline |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
5.56
vs
Market Price
3.93
Upside
+41.4%
| Margin of Safety | +29.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 346,214,892 |
| Terminal Value PV | 919,467,344 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 1,265,682,236 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 49,212,576 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.7%
Recommended Size
45.38%
Full Kelly
22.69%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 69/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
68.82
RSI(14)
0.1163
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
60
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↑ RISING (+12.9% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Industrials) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 1d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | +15.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 68.82 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.1163 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 3.48 / 3.56 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.11x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 4.18 |
| Bollinger Upper | 3.94 |
| SMA(200) | 3.56 |
| SMA(50) | 3.48 |
| SMA(20) | 3.66 |
| Current Price | 3.93 |
| Bollinger Lower | 3.38 |
| 52-Week Low | 3.00 |
| ATR(14) | 0.11 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 1.14x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-12 | Normal | 0.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-13 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-14 | No Demand | 0.11x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 3.79 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 3.61 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 3.70 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 3.50 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 3.50 – 3.70 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 3.90 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 3.32 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 3.38 – 3.94 | KC: 3.52 – 3.81
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 3.49
Anchor: 2025-11-23 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+11.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9540.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 895.40M |
| P/E (TTM) | 14.56 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.00 |
| EPS | 0.27 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 1.3% |
| Profit Margin | 4.9% |
| ROE | 22.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 115.99 |
| Current Ratio | 1.50 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.26 |
Trading Data
3.93
Open
3.93
Day High
3.93
Day Low
38.6K
Volume (0.2x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)