Arabian Plastic Industrial Company Limited NOMU
9548.SR · Basic Materials · · SAR
Nomu Parallel Market
QI Only
- This is a Nomu Parallel Market stock.
- Daily price limit: ±30% (vs ±10% on the Main Market).
- Restricted to Qualified Investors only.
- Lower liquidity increases execution risk — expect wider bid-ask spreads.
Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
57
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
65
Momentum
61
Fundamental
68
Macro
73
Liquidity
21
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 64.6 | 10% |
| Momentum | 60.7 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 68.4 | 40% |
| Macro | 72.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 20.8 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 45.50 |
| Stop Loss | 38.70 (14.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 52.30 (+14.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 59.10 (+29.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.40 (7.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 6.80 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 74.9 | +1.00 | |
| Momentum | 60.7 | +0.43 | |
| Quality | 39.6 | -0.41 | |
| Composite | 58.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.06
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 14.3 | 18.0 | -20% below |
| P/B Ratio | 2.7 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 4.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
28.39
vs
Market Price
45.50
Upside
-37.6%
| Margin of Safety | -60.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 75,310,644 |
| Terminal Value PV | 137,633,248 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 212,943,892 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 19,020,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 3.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.7%
Recommended Size
37.37%
Full Kelly
18.68%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 57/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
39.41
RSI(14)
-0.7019
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
61
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (+3.0% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials) |
| RS New High | No (13d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -4.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 39.41 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.7019 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 50.6 / 43.86 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.38x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 60.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 59.01 |
| SMA(200) | 43.86 |
| SMA(50) | 50.6 |
| SMA(20) | 51.94 |
| Current Price | 45.50 |
| Bollinger Lower | 44.88 |
| 52-Week Low | 31.78 |
| ATR(14) | 3.4 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Normal | 0.48x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 1.21x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-10 | No Supply | 0.16x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 0.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-12 | Normal | 0.38x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 50.56 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 52.56 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 51.56 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 51.82 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 51.56 – 51.82 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 45.50 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 50.00 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 44.88 – 59.01 | KC: 46.01 – 57.87
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 43.72
Anchor: 2025-07-23 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+4.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9548.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 341.25M |
| P/E (TTM) | 14.35 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.73 |
| EPS | 3.17 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 3.4% |
| Profit Margin | 11.9% |
| ROE | 20.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 66.56 |
| Current Ratio | 1.01 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.14 |
Trading Data
45.50
Open
45.50
Day High
45.50
Day Low
5.0K
Volume (0.5x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)