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Munawla Cargo Co. Ltd. NOMU

9571.SR · Industrials · · SAR
17.20 SAR
+0.00 (1.65%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:02 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Nomu Parallel Market QI Only
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

44
/ 100
Technical 45
Trend & RS 34
Momentum 35
Fundamental 66
Macro 59
Liquidity 20
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 45.0 20%
Trend & RS 34.4 30%
Momentum 34.9 15%
Fundamental 66.2 10%
Macro 59.4 20%
Liquidity 20.3 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 17.20
Stop Loss 16.50 (4.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 17.90 (+4.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 18.60 (+8.1%)
ATR(14) 0.35 (2.0%)
Risk per Share 0.70
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 85.7 +1.43
Momentum 31.7 -0.73
Quality 41.6 -0.34
Composite 53.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 3.84 Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 12.4 18.0 -31% below
P/B Ratio 1.6 3.0 Below
Dividend Yield 5.8% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
13.29
vs
Market Price
17.20
Upside
-22.7%
Margin of Safety -29.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)13,801,210
Terminal Value PV26,066,496
Total Enterprise Value39,867,706

Assumptions

Base FCF3,336,000
Growth Rate (5yr)5.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

2.7%
Recommended Size
28.04%
Full Kelly
14.02%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 44/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.6%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
58.67
RSI(14)
0.2441
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

11
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs TASI → FLAT (-2.7% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High No (52d since high)
Sector Outperformance -4.7% (3M)
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 58.67 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.2441 BULLISH
Ma Cross 16.47 / 21.47 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.14x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High34.63
Bollinger Upper17.74
SMA(200)21.47
SMA(50)16.47
SMA(20)16.63
Current Price17.20
Bollinger Lower15.53
52-Week Low16.00
ATR(14)0.35

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION C Confidence
54%
Selling Climax Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 3.0  |  Dist: 3.5  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-09-01 Normal 0.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.14x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Stopping Volume 4.39x High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-09-06 Upthrust 4.39x High volume up-bar closing near low — failed breakout (Upthrust)
2026-09-07 Normal 1.14x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 17.33 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 16.73 Base line
Senkou A 17.03 Leading span A
Senkou B 16.73 Leading span B
Cloud 16.73 – 17.03 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 17.20 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 15.84 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 15.53 – 17.74  |  KC: 16.14 – 17.13

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish MACD 6

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 17.04 Anchor: 2026-07-30 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +0.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/9571.SR

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap51.60M
P/E (TTM)12.37
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.57
EPS1.39

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue GrowthN/A
Profit Margin6.1%
ROE10.2%
Debt/Equity44.57
Current Ratio2.33
Dividend Yield5.8%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta-0.15

Trading Data

17.20
Open
17.20
Day High
17.20
Day Low
1.5K
Volume (1.8x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —