Mulkia Investment Company NOMU
9585.SR · Financial Services · · SAR
Nomu Parallel Market
QI Only
- This is a Nomu Parallel Market stock.
- Daily price limit: ±30% (vs ±10% on the Main Market).
- Restricted to Qualified Investors only.
- Lower liquidity increases execution risk — expect wider bid-ask spreads.
Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
48
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
35
Momentum
34
Fundamental
78
Macro
57
Liquidity
15
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 35.4 | 10% |
| Momentum | 34.4 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 40% |
| Macro | 56.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 14.9 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 31.00 |
| Stop Loss | 28.66 (7.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 33.34 (+7.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 35.68 (+15.1%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.17 (3.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.34 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 71.5 | +0.86 | |
| Momentum | 34.4 | -0.63 | |
| Quality | 82.0 | +1.28 | |
| Composite | 62.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
15.89
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.2 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 2.5 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
13.61
vs
Market Price
31.00
Upside
-56.1%
| Margin of Safety | -127.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 44,163,804 |
| Terminal Value PV | 78,355,482 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 122,519,286 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 11,592,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.76%
Recommended Size
30.95%
Full Kelly
15.47%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
40.79
RSI(14)
-0.8576
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
38
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | → FLAT (+6.3% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | No (21d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +9.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 40.79 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.8576 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 33.24 / 33.76 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 2.68x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 42.47 |
| Bollinger Upper | 38.96 |
| SMA(200) | 33.76 |
| SMA(50) | 33.24 |
| SMA(20) | 34.07 |
| Current Price | 31.00 |
| Bollinger Lower | 29.18 |
| 52-Week Low | 25.76 |
| ATR(14) | 1.17 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
80%
Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)
Buying Climax
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 4.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Stopping Volume | 4.19x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 2.68x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 32.49 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 36.16 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 34.32 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 35.44 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 34.32 – 35.44 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 31.00 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 32.50 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 29.18 – 38.96 | KC: 32.49 – 35.65
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 33.58
Anchor: 2026-01-14 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-7.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9585.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 279.00M |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.25 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.46 |
| EPS | 1.61 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -16.1% |
| Profit Margin | 37.6% |
| ROE | 15.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 11.96 |
| Current Ratio | 6.01 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | -0.11 |
Trading Data
31.00
Open
31.00
Day High
31.00
Day Low
1.0K
Volume (1.0x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)