Leaf Global Environmental Services Company NOMU
9597.SR · Industrials · · SAR
Nomu Parallel Market
QI Only
- This is a Nomu Parallel Market stock.
- Daily price limit: ±30% (vs ±10% on the Main Market).
- Restricted to Qualified Investors only.
- Lower liquidity increases execution risk — expect wider bid-ask spreads.
Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
36
/ 100
Technical
22
Trend & RS
16
Momentum
10
Fundamental
57
Macro
57
Liquidity
4
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 22.5 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 15.8 | 10% |
| Momentum | 10.5 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 56.8 | 40% |
| Macro | 56.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 3.9 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 12.00 |
| Stop Loss | 11.08 (7.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 12.92 (+7.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 13.84 (+15.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.46 (3.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.92 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 52.9 | +0.11 | |
| Momentum | 10.5 | -1.58 | |
| Quality | 51.8 | +0.07 | |
| Composite | 38.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
3.46
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 44.4 | 18.0 | +147% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.6 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
2.28
vs
Market Price
12.00
Upside
-81.0%
| Margin of Safety | -425.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,114,641 |
| Terminal Value PV | 7,300,198 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 11,414,839 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,080,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.76%
Recommended Size
21.73%
Full Kelly
10.87%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 36/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.2%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Nomu Liquidity Adjustment: Position size reduced 40% for Nomu Parallel Market liquidity risk (thin order books, wider spreads, ±30% daily limit).
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
40.68
RSI(14)
-0.5877
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
2
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↓ FALLING (-32.1% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (57d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -22.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 40.68 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.5877 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 13.93 / 21.72 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.0x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 44.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 13.74 |
| SMA(200) | 21.72 |
| SMA(50) | 13.93 |
| SMA(20) | 12.48 |
| Current Price | 12.00 |
| Bollinger Lower | 11.23 |
| 52-Week Low | 11.50 |
| ATR(14) | 0.46 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
50%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Normal | 0.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 2.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.66x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.17x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 12.13 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 12.75 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 12.44 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 15.85 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 12.44 – 15.85 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 12.00 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 12.50 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 11.23 – 13.74 | KC: 11.81 – 13.16
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 8 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 10 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 19 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 21 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 26 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 11.97
Anchor: 2026-10-25 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+0.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9597.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 60.00M |
| P/E (TTM) | 44.44 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.56 |
| EPS | 0.27 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -33.2% |
| Profit Margin | 3.9% |
| ROE | 3.7% |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 7.37 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | -1.04 |
Trading Data
12.00
Open
12.00
Day High
12.00
Day Low
1.00
Volume (0.0x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)