Shalfa Facilities Management Company

9613.SR · Industrials · · SAR

67.00 SAR

+0.00 (0.68%)

● Updated 2026-11-06 17:20 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 93

Momentum 69

Fundamental (0%) 73

Macro 57

Liquidity 14

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	40%
Trend & RS	92.7	20%
Momentum	68.9	20%
Fundamental	73.1	0%
Macro	56.8	15%
Liquidity	14.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	67.00
Stop Loss	65.48 (2.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	68.52 (+2.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	70.04 (+4.5%)

ATR(14)	0.76 (1.1%)
Risk per Share	1.52
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	87.6	+1.51
Momentum	68.9	+0.76
Quality	48.6	-0.06
Composite	68.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 3.98 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	8.0	18.0	-56% below
P/B Ratio	2.2	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	0.0%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

172.01

Market Price

67.00

Upside

+156.7%

Margin of Safety	+61.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	197,612,858
Terminal Value PV	524,814,427
Total Enterprise Value	722,427,285

Assumptions

Base FCF	28,089,600
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.6%

Recommended Size

52.39%

Full Kelly

26.2%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 82/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.9%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

62.11

RSI(14)

1.0632

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs TASI	↑ RISING (+16.5% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (9d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+25.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	62.11	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.0632	BULLISH
Ma Cross	62.66 / 59.3	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.04x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	67.55
Bollinger Upper	68.66
SMA(200)	59.3
SMA(50)	62.66
SMA(20)	65.22
Current Price	67.00
Bollinger Lower	61.78
52-Week Low	46.00
ATR(14)	0.76

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-11-01	Normal	0.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-02	Normal	18.86x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-03	Normal	0.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-04	Normal	0.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-11-05	Normal	0.04x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	65.60	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	64.78	Base line
Senkou A	65.19	Leading span A
Senkou B	61.97	Leading span B
Cloud	61.97 – 65.19	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	67.00	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	62.05	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 61.78 – 68.66 | KC: 64.07 – 66.37

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bearish	RSI	21

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 64.01 Anchor: 2025-11-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +4.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/9613.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	281.40M
P/E (TTM)	8.01
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	2.16
EPS	8.36

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	60.3%
Profit Margin	6.3%
ROE	31.1%
Debt/Equity	89.62
Current Ratio	1.59
Dividend Yield	N/A
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	N/A

Trading Data

67.00

Open

67.00

Day High

67.00

Day Low

965.00

Volume (0.1x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)