Multi Business Group Company for Projects

9619.SR · Industrials · · SAR

1.86 SAR

+0.00 (0.00%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:02 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 16

Momentum 14

Fundamental 78

Macro 59

Liquidity 9

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	15.8	30%
Momentum	13.7	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	59.4	20%
Liquidity	9.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	1.86
Stop Loss	1.78 (4.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	1.94 (+4.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	2.02 (+8.6%)

ATR(14)	0.04 (2.1%)
Risk per Share	0.08
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	54.2	+0.17
Momentum	13.7	-1.45
Quality	48.9	-0.04
Composite	38.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 81.82 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	46.5	18.0	+158% above
P/B Ratio	0.9	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	3.4%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

0.34

Market Price

1.86

Upside

-81.8%

Margin of Safety	-449.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	5,486,188
Terminal Value PV	9,733,598
Total Enterprise Value	15,219,786

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,440,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

17.75%

Full Kelly

8.88%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 32/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

53.05

RSI(14)

-0.0325

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-22.0% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (52d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-24.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	53.05	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.0325	BULLISH
Ma Cross	1.88 / 2.75	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.26x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	5.17
Bollinger Upper	1.89
SMA(200)	2.75
SMA(50)	1.88
SMA(20)	1.8
Current Price	1.86
Bollinger Lower	1.7
52-Week Low	1.70
ATR(14)	0.04

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

50%

Selling Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.11x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.48x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	1.48x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.26x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	1.79	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	1.78	Base line
Senkou A	1.79	Leading span A
Senkou B	2.15	Leading span B
Cloud	1.79 – 2.15	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	1.86	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	1.76	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH

BB: 1.7 – 1.89 | KC: 1.73 – 1.86

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	RSI	12
Regular Bullish	RSI	19

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 1.78 Anchor: 2026-07-21 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +4.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/9619.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	83.70M
P/E (TTM)	46.50
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	0.93
EPS	0.04

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-7.6%
Profit Margin	1.4%
ROE	2.0%
Debt/Equity	0.70
Current Ratio	7.43
Dividend Yield	3.4%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	N/A

Trading Data

1.86

Open

1.86

Day High

1.86

Day Low

6.1K

Volume (0.2x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)