Alshehili Company for metal industries

9624.SR · Consumer Cyclical · · SAR

51.80 SAR

+0.00 (0.00%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 30

Momentum 38

Fundamental 51

Macro 59

Liquidity 27

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	10%
Trend & RS	29.9	10%
Momentum	38.4	5%
Fundamental	51.3	40%
Macro	59.4	15%
Liquidity	26.6	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	51.80
Stop Loss	49.10 (5.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	54.50 (+5.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	57.20 (+10.4%)

ATR(14)	1.35 (2.6%)
Risk per Share	2.70
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	90.1	+1.60
Momentum	38.4	-0.46
Quality	49.8	-0.01
Composite	59.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 3.46 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	9.2	18.0	-49% below
P/B Ratio	1.5	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	3.9%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

47.35

Market Price

51.80

Upside

-8.6%

Margin of Safety	-9.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	42,670,342
Terminal Value PV	75,705,778
Total Enterprise Value	118,376,120

Assumptions

Base FCF	11,200,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

24.51%

Full Kelly

12.26%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

39.67

RSI(14)

-1.0599

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-10.5% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (34d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-14.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	39.67	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.0599	BEARISH
Ma Cross	54.87 / 55.34	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.59x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	61.50
Bollinger Upper	56.88
SMA(200)	55.34
SMA(50)	54.87
SMA(20)	53.18
Current Price	51.80
Bollinger Lower	49.49
52-Week Low	48.00
ATR(14)	1.35

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

69%

Spring (potential) Selling Climax Buying Climax

Acc: 4.5 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.37x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.14x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.14x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.59x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	50.95	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	51.50	Base line
Senkou A	51.23	Leading span A
Senkou B	52.50	Leading span B
Cloud	51.23 – 52.50	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	51.80	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	55.00	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING

BB: 49.49 – 56.88 | KC: 50.93 – 55.44

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Regular Bullish	RSI	7
Hidden Bearish	RSI	9

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 51.08 Anchor: 2026-09-01 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +1.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/9624.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	129.50M
P/E (TTM)	9.25
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.48
EPS	5.60

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-37.3%
Profit Margin	14.9%
ROE	N/A
Debt/Equity	N/A
Current Ratio	N/A
Dividend Yield	3.9%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	N/A

Trading Data

51.80

Open

51.80

Day High

51.80

Day Low

466.00

Volume (1.0x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)