Hedab Alkhaleej Trading Co.

9631.SR · Consumer Cyclical · · SAR

28.50 SAR

+0.00 (1.79%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 24

Momentum 33

Fundamental 44

Macro 60

Liquidity 14

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	23.9	30%
Momentum	32.6	15%
Fundamental	44.4	10%
Macro	59.5	20%
Liquidity	14.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	28.50
Stop Loss	27.44 (3.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	29.56 (+3.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	30.62 (+7.4%)

ATR(14)	0.53 (1.9%)
Risk per Share	1.06
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	94.1	+1.76
Momentum	32.6	-0.70
Quality	38.8	-0.45
Composite	55.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	7.9	18.0	-56% below
P/B Ratio	1.0	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	5.4%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

30.52

Market Price

28.50

Upside

+7.1%

Margin of Safety	+6.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	82,521,394
Terminal Value PV	146,409,566
Total Enterprise Value	228,930,960

Assumptions

Base FCF	21,660,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	12.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

19.73%

Full Kelly

9.86%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 34/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.0%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

38.7

RSI(14)

-1.0332

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs TASI	↓ FALLING (-14.3% vs TASI 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (51d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-18.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs TASI 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	38.7	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.0332	BULLISH
Ma Cross	31.09 / 31.37	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.36x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	41.60
Bollinger Upper	32.19
SMA(200)	31.37
SMA(50)	31.09
SMA(20)	29.37
Current Price	28.50
Bollinger Lower	26.55
52-Week Low	27.00
ATR(14)	0.53

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	No Demand	0.55x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest
2026-09-02	Normal	0.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.37x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-06	Normal	0.37x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-07	Normal	0.36x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	28.65	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	30.89	Base line
Senkou A	29.77	Leading span A
Senkou B	33.35	Leading span B
Cloud	29.77 – 33.35	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	28.50	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	34.45	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING

BB: 26.55 – 32.19 | KC: 28.62 – 30.11

Divergences (last 60 bars)

Type	Indicator	Bars Ago	Strength
Hidden Bearish	RSI	7

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 33.12 Anchor: 2026-02-25 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -13.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/9631.SR

Valuation

Metric	Value
Market Cap	213.75M
P/E (TTM)	7.89
Forward P/E	N/A
P/B	1.02
EPS	3.61

Financial Health

Metric	Value
Revenue Growth	-9.0%
Profit Margin	4.6%
ROE	13.3%
Debt/Equity	64.48
Current Ratio	1.93
Dividend Yield	5.4%
Payout Ratio	N/A
Beta	N/A

Trading Data

28.50

Open

28.50

Day High

28.50

Day Low

555.00

Volume (0.3x avg)

Insider Activity

Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)