Al Kuzama Trading Co
9636.SR · Industrials · · SARFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
27
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
19
Momentum
17
Fundamental
61
Macro
59
Liquidity
14
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 18.6 | 30% |
| Momentum | 16.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 61.2 | 10% |
| Macro | 59.4 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 14.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 47.00 |
| Stop Loss | 43.82 (6.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 50.18 (+6.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 53.36 (+13.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.59 (3.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.18 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 89.4 | +1.58 | |
| Momentum | 16.9 | -1.32 | |
| Quality | 38.5 | -0.46 | |
| Composite | 48.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
3.34
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 7.7 | 18.0 | -57% below |
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 6.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
62.11
vs
Market Price
47.00
Upside
+32.2%
| Margin of Safety | +24.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 83,007,098 |
| Terminal Value PV | 161,869,084 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 244,876,182 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 19,207,363 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 6.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 12.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
12.94%
Full Kelly
6.47%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 27/100. Estimated win rate 48%, avg win 6.6%, avg loss 4.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
32.71
RSI(14)
-2.5914
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
9
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs TASI | ↓ FALLING (-17.3% vs TASI 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (43d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -19.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / TASI (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs TASI
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 32.71 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -2.5914 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 55.05 / 61.83 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.2x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 75.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 57.69 |
| SMA(200) | 61.83 |
| SMA(50) | 55.05 |
| SMA(20) | 50.52 |
| Current Price | 47.00 |
| Bollinger Lower | 43.36 |
| 52-Week Low | 43.50 |
| ATR(14) | 1.59 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.87x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.08x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-06 | Normal | 0.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-07 | Normal | 0.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 48.00 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 49.75 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 48.88 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 51.75 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 48.88 – 51.75 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 47.00 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 54.00 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 43.36 – 57.69 | KC: 47.88 – 53.17
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | MACD | 6 | |
| Hidden Bearish | MACD | 11 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 15 | |
| Regular Bullish | MACD | 15 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 46.71
Anchor: 2026-08-30 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+0.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/9636.SR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 185.29M |
| P/E (TTM) | 7.72 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.40 |
| EPS | 6.09 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 6.6% |
| Profit Margin | 7.5% |
| ROE | 21.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 57.14 |
| Current Ratio | 1.08 |
| Dividend Yield | 6.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
47.00
Open
47.00
Day High
47.00
Day Low
354.00
Volume (0.4x avg)
Insider Activity
Insider transaction data is not available for Saudi-listed stocks.
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)