Ameren Corporation
AEE · Utilities · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
62
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
68
Momentum
58
Fundamental (0%)
41
Macro
24
Liquidity
68
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 67.9 | 20% |
| Momentum | 58.1 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 41.4 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 67.6 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 112.08 |
| Stop Loss | 108.33 (3.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 115.81 (+3.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 119.56 (+6.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.87 (1.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.74 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 69.8 | +0.79 | |
| Momentum | 58.1 | +0.32 | |
| Quality | 35.9 | -0.56 | |
| Composite | 54.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.36
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.6 | 16.0 | +23% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.2 | 1.8 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% | 3.5% | Below avg |
Comparing against Utilities median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
102.89
vs
Market Price
112.81
Upside
-8.8%
| Margin of Safety | -9.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 6,689,875,946 |
| Terminal Value PV | 21,795,588,168 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 28,485,464,114 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,273,478,955 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 10.8% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
40.88%
Full Kelly
20.44%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 62/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
66.7
RSI(14)
2.3495
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
69
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+10.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Utilities) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +1.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 66.7 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.3495 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 104.79 / 107.54 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.04x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 118.32 |
| Bollinger Upper | 114.32 |
| SMA(200) | 107.54 |
| SMA(50) | 104.79 |
| SMA(20) | 108.05 |
| Current Price | 112.81 |
| Bollinger Lower | 101.78 |
| 52-Week Low | 96.57 |
| ATR(14) | 1.87 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.85x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 111.41 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 107.27 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 109.34 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 106.75 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 106.75 – 109.34 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 112.08 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 99.94 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 101.78 – 114.32 | KC: 105.12 – 110.98
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 106.27
Anchor: 2025-12-12 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+5.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AEE
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 31.23B |
| P/E (TTM) | 19.62 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.20 |
| EPS | 5.75 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 10.8% |
| Profit Margin | 18.6% |
| ROE | 11.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 157.04 |
| Current Ratio | 0.74 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
112.81
Open
112.81
Day High
112.81
Day Low
3.01M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)