Applied Materials, Inc.
AMAT · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
44
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
54
Momentum
5
Fundamental
78
Macro
23
Liquidity
91
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 53.7 | 30% |
| Momentum | 5.4 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 91.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 319.25 |
| Stop Loss | 273.19 (14.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 365.31 (+14.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 411.37 (+28.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 23.03 (7.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 46.06 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25.5 | -0.98 | |
| Momentum | 4.9 | -1.80 | |
| Quality | 78.3 | +1.13 | |
| Composite | 36.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 27.6 | 28.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 9.9 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 66.0% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
358.56
vs
Market Price
319.25
Upside
+12.3%
| Margin of Safety | +11.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 56,238,587,850 |
| Terminal Value PV | 228,309,838,658 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 284,548,426,508 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 7,358,235,467 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 24.8% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
27.88%
Full Kelly
13.94%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 44/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.6%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
25.87
RSI(14)
-30.1022
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
71
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-35.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (60d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -46.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 25.87 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -30.1022 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 447.84 / 444.71 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.09x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 739.67 |
| Bollinger Upper | 498.1 |
| SMA(200) | 444.71 |
| SMA(50) | 447.84 |
| SMA(20) | 409.55 |
| Current Price | 319.25 |
| Bollinger Lower | 320.99 |
| 52-Week Low | 203.40 |
| ATR(14) | 23.03 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.27x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.69x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.09x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 371.74 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 432.10 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 401.92 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 432.10 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 401.92 – 432.10 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 319.25 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 529.30 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 320.99 – 498.1 | KC: 375.26 – 443.84
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 423.03
Anchor: 2025-11-14 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-24.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AMAT
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 253.36B |
| P/E (TTM) | 27.55 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 9.89 |
| EPS | 11.59 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 24.8% |
| Profit Margin | 30.1% |
| ROE | 41.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 28.67 |
| Current Ratio | 2.42 |
| Dividend Yield | 66.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.67 |
Trading Data
319.25
Open
319.25
Day High
319.25
Day Low
16.94M
Volume (2.4x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)