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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

AMD · Technology · · USD
445.50 USD
0.00 (-0.62%)
● Updated 2026-05-14 13:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Long-term (Investment)

81
/ 100
Technical 80
Trend & RS 100
Momentum 100
Fundamental 89
Macro 72
Liquidity 59
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 80.0 10%
Trend & RS 99.6 10%
Momentum 100.0 5%
Fundamental 88.9 40%
Macro 71.8 15%
Liquidity 58.6 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 445.50
Stop Loss 398.90 (10.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 492.10 (+10.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 538.70 (+20.9%)
ATR(14) 23.30 (5.2%)
Risk per Share 46.60
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 100.0 +2.00
Quality 48.8 -0.05
Composite 49.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 113.75 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 149.5 28.0 +434% above
P/B Ratio 11.3 6.0 Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
92.88
vs
Market Price
445.50
Upside
-79.2%
Margin of Safety -379.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)29,866,803,796
Terminal Value PV121,585,544,301
Total Enterprise Value151,452,348,097

Assumptions

Base FCF3,887,351,923
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
52.06%
Full Kelly
26.03%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 81/100. Estimated win rate 64%, avg win 9.9%, avg loss 3.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
76.2
RSI(14)
52.793
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

98
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+101.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (2d since high)
Sector Outperformance +76.9% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 76.2 OVERBOUGHT
Macd 52.793 BULLISH
Ma Cross 269.77 / 221.6 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.62x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High469.22
Bollinger Upper481.7
SMA(200)221.6
SMA(50)269.77
SMA(20)355.85
Current Price445.50
Bollinger Lower230.01
52-Week Low107.67
ATR(14)23.3

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-07 Normal 0.92x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 1.19x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 0.94x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12 Normal 0.8x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13 Normal 0.62x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 403.96 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 348.16 Base line
Senkou A 376.06 Leading span A
Senkou B 328.72 Leading span B
Cloud 328.72 – 376.06 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 445.50 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 231.82 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 230.01 – 481.7  |  KC: 318.51 – 393.2

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 205.84 Anchor: 2025-05-23 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +116.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/AMD

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap726.43B
P/E (TTM)149.50
Forward P/EN/A
P/B11.27
EPS2.98

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth37.8%
Profit Margin13.4%
ROE8.1%
Debt/Equity6.00
Current Ratio2.73
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta2.40

Trading Data

445.50
Open
445.50
Day High
445.50
Day Low
29.02M
Volume (0.7x avg)

Recent News (8)

AMD and ARM Extend Server Market Gains While Intel Loses Share (AMD)
InvestorsHub · 2026-05-14
New report shows AMD and ARM continue server share gains at Intel’s expense
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Motley Fool · 2026-05-13
Advanced Micro Devices Shareholders Back Board as Lisa Su Touts AI Growth
MarketBeat · 2026-05-13

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —