Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
AMD · Technology · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
53
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
70
Momentum
28
Fundamental
89
Macro
22
Liquidity
98
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 69.6 | 30% |
| Momentum | 27.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 98.2 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 404.40 |
| Stop Loss | 334.08 (17.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 474.72 (+17.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 545.04 (+34.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 35.16 (8.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 70.32 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 1.1 | -1.96 | |
| Momentum | 25.4 | -0.98 | |
| Quality | 53.7 | +0.15 | |
| Composite | 26.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
44.60
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 86.4 | 28.0 | +209% above |
| P/B Ratio | 9.7 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
145.87
vs
Market Price
404.40
Upside
-63.9%
| Margin of Safety | -177.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 47,177,799,730 |
| Terminal Value PV | 192,057,325,527 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 239,235,125,257 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 6,140,486,668 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
34.94%
Full Kelly
17.47%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
29.75
RSI(14)
-27.8594
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
98
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-11.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (22d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -22.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 29.75 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -27.8594 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 547.37 / 415.0 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 2.72x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 658.52 |
| Bollinger Upper | 635.95 |
| SMA(200) | 415.0 |
| SMA(50) | 547.37 |
| SMA(20) | 535.25 |
| Current Price | 404.40 |
| Bollinger Lower | 434.55 |
| 52-Week Low | 188.22 |
| ATR(14) | 35.16 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.53x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.24x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Stopping Volume | 2.72x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 490.64 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 530.31 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 510.47 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 530.31 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 510.47 – 530.31 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 404.40 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 615.73 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 434.55 – 635.95 | KC: 483.07 – 587.43
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 23 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 424.51
Anchor: 2026-03-03 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-4.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AMD
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 663.25B |
| P/E (TTM) | 86.41 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 9.70 |
| EPS | 4.68 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 44.7% |
| Profit Margin | 16.8% |
| ROE | 12.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 13.47 |
| Current Ratio | 2.73 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 2.54 |
Trading Data
404.40
Open
404.40
Day High
404.40
Day Low
70.12M
Volume (3.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)