Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

AMD · Technology · · USD

477.57 USD

+0.00 (4.69%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:32 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 74

Momentum 69

Fundamental 89

Macro 64

Liquidity 59

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	74.2	30%
Momentum	69.4	15%
Fundamental	88.9	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	59.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	477.57
Stop Loss	432.55 (9.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	522.59 (+9.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	567.61 (+18.9%)

ATR(14)	22.51 (4.7%)
Risk per Share	45.02
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	0.0	-2.00
Momentum	69.4	+0.78
Quality	50.6	+0.02
Composite	40.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 110.68 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	121.8	28.0	+335% above
P/B Ratio	11.6	6.0	Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

122.18

Market Price

477.57

Upside

-74.4%

Margin of Safety	-290.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	39,333,038,214
Terminal Value PV	160,121,882,898
Total Enterprise Value	199,454,921,112

Assumptions

Base FCF	5,119,441,732
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

47.17%

Full Kelly

23.58%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 72/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

49.67

RSI(14)

-8.21

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-2.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (47d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+8.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	49.67	NEUTRAL
Macd	-8.21	BULLISH
Ma Cross	499.27 / 341.0	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.12x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	584.73
Bollinger Upper	505.22
SMA(200)	341.0
SMA(50)	499.27
SMA(20)	475.2
Current Price	477.57
Bollinger Lower	445.18
52-Week Low	149.22
ATR(14)	22.51

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION B Confidence

67%

Volume Dry-Up (Distribution)

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 2.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.68x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.12x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	465.81	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	485.31	Base line
Senkou A	475.56	Leading span A
Senkou B	504.38	Leading span B
Cloud	475.56 – 504.38	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	477.57	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	476.15	Bullish
Alignment Score	1/4	NEUTRAL