AMETEK, Inc.
AME · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
41
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
49
Momentum
42
Fundamental (0%)
83
Macro
24
Liquidity
70
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 48.6 | 20% |
| Momentum | 41.5 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 70.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 226.51 |
| Stop Loss | 211.15 (6.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 241.87 (+6.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 257.23 (+13.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 7.68 (3.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 15.36 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 43.0 | -0.28 | |
| Momentum | 41.5 | -0.34 | |
| Quality | 45.3 | -0.19 | |
| Composite | 43.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
6.45
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 31.4 | 18.0 | +75% above |
| P/B Ratio | 4.4 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 61.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
164.63
vs
Market Price
222.99
Upside
-26.2%
| Margin of Safety | -35.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 8,148,827,753 |
| Terminal Value PV | 29,603,457,948 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 37,752,285,701 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,300,691,685 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 17.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
25.65%
Full Kelly
12.83%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 41/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
36.47
RSI(14)
-3.4029
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
46
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-5.3% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (61d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -7.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 36.47 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -3.4029 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 242.69 / 234.17 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 261.16 |
| Bollinger Upper | 259.21 |
| SMA(200) | 234.17 |
| SMA(50) | 242.69 |
| SMA(20) | 243.74 |
| Current Price | 222.99 |
| Bollinger Lower | 228.26 |
| 52-Week Low | 188.47 |
| ATR(14) | 7.68 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
58%
Upthrust (potential)
Sign of Weakness
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 3.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.92x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.65x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 238.35 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 238.82 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 238.59 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 238.82 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 238.59 – 238.82 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 226.51 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 251.93 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 228.26 – 259.21 | KC: 232.37 – 255.1
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 228.83
Anchor: 2025-11-19 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-1.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AME
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 51.14B |
| P/E (TTM) | 31.45 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 4.37 |
| EPS | 7.09 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 17.3% |
| Profit Margin | 19.9% |
| ROE | 14.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 59.56 |
| Current Ratio | 1.43 |
| Dividend Yield | 61.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.97 |
Trading Data
222.99
Open
222.99
Day High
222.99
Day Low
2.53M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)