Aon plc
AON · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
52
/ 100
Technical
60
Trend & RS
59
Momentum
63
Fundamental
56
Macro
23
Liquidity
52
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 60.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 59.4 | 30% |
| Momentum | 63.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 51.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 344.40 |
| Stop Loss | 327.24 (5.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 361.56 (+5.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 378.72 (+10.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 8.58 (2.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 17.16 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 49.2 | -0.03 | |
| Momentum | 63.0 | +0.52 | |
| Quality | 65.2 | +0.61 | |
| Composite | 59.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18.9 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 7.2 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 95.0% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
231.48
vs
Market Price
344.40
Upside
-32.8%
| Margin of Safety | -48.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 12,977,998,969 |
| Terminal Value PV | 36,132,754,965 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 49,110,753,934 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,100,889,232 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
34.02%
Full Kelly
17.01%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 52/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.1%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
76.3
RSI(14)
12.4028
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
48
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+1.3% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 52d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | -9.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 76.3 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 12.4028 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 299.99 / 324.11 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.82x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 382.34 |
| Bollinger Upper | 349.61 |
| SMA(200) | 324.11 |
| SMA(50) | 299.99 |
| SMA(20) | 303.65 |
| Current Price | 344.40 |
| Bollinger Lower | 257.68 |
| 52-Week Low | 266.33 |
| ATR(14) | 8.58 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.95x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.82x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 322.62 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 308.06 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 315.34 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 312.52 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 312.52 – 315.34 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 344.40 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 275.25 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 257.68 – 349.61 | KC: 291.41 – 315.88
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 21 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 25 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 298.33
Anchor: 2026-10-05 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+15.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AON
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 73.07B |
| P/E (TTM) | 18.85 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 7.24 |
| EPS | 18.27 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 2.6% |
| Profit Margin | 22.2% |
| ROE | 43.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 283.33 |
| Current Ratio | 1.58 |
| Dividend Yield | 95.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.61 |
Trading Data
344.40
Open
344.40
Day High
344.40
Day Low
1.44M
Volume (0.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)