Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.

APD · Basic Materials · · USD

301.27 USD

0.00 (-0.97%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 78

Momentum 59

Fundamental 11

Macro 64

Liquidity 44

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	77.5	30%
Momentum	58.7	15%
Fundamental	11.1	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	43.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	301.27
Stop Loss	288.63 (4.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	313.91 (+4.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	326.55 (+8.4%)

ATR(14)	6.32 (2.1%)
Risk per Share	12.64
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	54.4	+0.18
Momentum	58.7	+0.35
Quality	18.7	-1.25
Composite	43.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 1 /9 — Weak

✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	4.8	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	2.4%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

41.52%

Full Kelly

20.76%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 63/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

47.76

RSI(14)

1.8228

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+2.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (45d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+7.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	47.76	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.8228	BEARISH
Ma Cross	300.07 / 280.18	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.73x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	314.87
Bollinger Upper	311.18
SMA(200)	280.18
SMA(50)	300.07
SMA(20)	305.44
Current Price	301.27
Bollinger Lower	299.7
52-Week Low	229.11
ATR(14)	6.32

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.73x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	307.07	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	300.97	Base line
Senkou A	304.02	Leading span A
Senkou B	291.66	Leading span B
Cloud	291.66 – 304.02	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	301.27	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	294.89	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL