ARK Innovation ETF

ARKK · · · USD

80.99 USD

0.00 (-0.66%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:11 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 61

Momentum 56

Fundamental (0%) 0

Macro 71

Liquidity 0

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	61.0	20%
Momentum	55.6	20%
Fundamental	0.0	0%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	0.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	81.21
Stop Loss	75.97 (6.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	86.45 (+6.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	91.69 (+12.9%)

ATR(14)	2.62 (3.2%)
Risk per Share	5.24
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	5.0	-1.80
Momentum	55.6	+0.22
Quality	50.0	+0.00
Composite	36.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 0 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	47.7	18.0	+165% above
P/B Ratio	N/A	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	0.0%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against sector median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

42.03%

Full Kelly

21.02%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 64/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

55.44

RSI(14)

1.1354

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+6.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE
RS New High	No (56d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+0.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	55.44	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.1354	BULLISH
Ma Cross	78.15 / 78.22	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.11x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	92.65
Bollinger Upper	83.92
SMA(200)	78.22
SMA(50)	78.15
SMA(20)	79.36
Current Price	80.99
Bollinger Lower	74.8
52-Week Low	62.95
ATR(14)	2.62

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION B Confidence

67%

Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation)

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.59x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Demand	0.11x	Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	81.13	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	78.22	Base line
Senkou A	79.67	Leading span A
Senkou B	78.22	Leading span B
Cloud	78.22 – 79.67	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	81.21	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	78.16	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH