AutoZone, Inc.

AZO · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

2983.29 USD

+0.00 (0.51%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 0

Trend & RS 22

Momentum 42

Fundamental 30

Macro 64

Liquidity 44

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	0.0	20%
Trend & RS	21.5	30%
Momentum	42.0	15%
Fundamental	29.6	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	43.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	2983.29
Stop Loss	2837.71 (4.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	3128.87 (+4.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	3274.45 (+9.8%)

ATR(14)	72.79 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	145.58
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	60.5	+0.42
Momentum	38.1	-0.47
Quality	28.0	-0.88
Composite	42.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.29 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	20.5	18.0	+14% above
P/B Ratio	-17.5	2.5	Inline

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

16.74%

Full Kelly

8.37%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 31/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.8%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

47.43

RSI(14)

-23.0885

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-9.0% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (46d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-8.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	47.43	NEUTRAL
Macd	-23.0885	BEARISH
Ma Cross	3036.33 / 3381.45	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.51x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	4388.11
Bollinger Upper	3094.82
SMA(200)	3381.45
SMA(50)	3036.33
SMA(20)	3004.21
Current Price	2983.29
Bollinger Lower	2913.6
52-Week Low	2902.20
ATR(14)	72.79

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.43x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.19x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.06x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.51x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	2982.77	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	3031.79	Base line
Senkou A	3007.28	Leading span A
Senkou B	3070.67	Leading span B
Cloud	3007.28 – 3070.67	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	2983.29	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	3016.25	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH