AutoZone, Inc.
AZO · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
49
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
61
Momentum
57
Fundamental (0%)
44
Macro
24
Liquidity
37
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 61.0 | 20% |
| Momentum | 56.6 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 44.4 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 37.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 3234.98 |
| Stop Loss | 3057.38 (5.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 3412.58 (+5.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 3590.18 (+11.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 88.80 (2.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 177.60 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 64.3 | +0.57 | |
| Momentum | 56.6 | +0.27 | |
| Quality | 28.4 | -0.86 | |
| Composite | 49.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 21.0 | 18.0 | +17% above |
| P/B Ratio | -20.8 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
2197.90
vs
Market Price
3210.28
Upside
-31.5%
| Margin of Safety | -46.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 8,939,097,775 |
| Terminal Value PV | 26,434,615,506 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 35,373,713,281 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,964,153,331 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
31.69%
Full Kelly
15.85%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 49/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
59.04
RSI(14)
83.8206
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
52
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+10.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +7.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 59.04 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 83.8206 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 2991.96 / 3253.54 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 3996.25 |
| Bollinger Upper | 3392.81 |
| SMA(200) | 3253.54 |
| SMA(50) | 2991.96 |
| SMA(20) | 3144.48 |
| Current Price | 3210.28 |
| Bollinger Lower | 2896.15 |
| 52-Week Low | 2730.65 |
| ATR(14) | 88.8 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.89x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.76x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Supply | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 3221.82 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 3044.82 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 3133.32 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 3044.82 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 3044.82 – 3133.32 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 3234.98 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 2792.03 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 2896.15 – 3392.81 | KC: 3014.4 – 3274.57
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 7 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 26 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 3073.29
Anchor: 2026-10-05 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+5.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/AZO
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 51.67B |
| P/E (TTM) | 21.04 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | -20.75 |
| EPS | 152.55 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.6% |
| Profit Margin | 12.7% |
| ROE | N/A |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.37 |
Trading Data
3210.28
Open
3210.28
Day High
3210.28
Day Low
10.1K
Volume (0.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)