Conagra Brands, Inc.
CAG · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
31
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
20
Momentum
24
Fundamental
11
Macro
65
Liquidity
42
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 20.3 | 30% |
| Momentum | 23.9 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 11.1 | 10% |
| Macro | 65.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 42.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 13.93 |
| Stop Loss | 13.07 (6.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 14.79 (+6.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 15.65 (+12.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.43 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.86 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 96.7 | +1.87 | |
| Momentum | 23.9 | -1.05 | |
| Quality | 16.6 | -1.34 | |
| Composite | 45.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 0.8 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 10.1% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
16.93%
Full Kelly
8.46%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 31/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
40.87
RSI(14)
-0.308
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
13
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-32.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | No (60d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -17.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 40.87 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.308 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 15.22 / 16.8 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.99x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 23.37 |
| Bollinger Upper | 14.55 |
| SMA(200) | 16.8 |
| SMA(50) | 15.22 |
| SMA(20) | 14.08 |
| Current Price | 13.93 |
| Bollinger Lower | 13.61 |
| 52-Week Low | 13.61 |
| ATR(14) | 0.43 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-06 | Normal | 0.89x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-07 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-08 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-05-11 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 14.09 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 14.58 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 14.33 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 16.31 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 14.33 – 16.31 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 13.93 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 15.39 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
3 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 13.61 – 14.55 | KC: 13.5 – 14.66
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 8 | |
| Hidden Bearish | MACD | 8 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 17 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 14.09
Anchor: 2026-05-05 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-1.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CAG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 6.66B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.82 |
| EPS | -0.10 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -1.9% |
| Profit Margin | -0.4% |
| ROE | -0.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 89.81 |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 |
| Dividend Yield | 10.1% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | -0.03 |
Trading Data
13.93
Open
13.93
Day High
13.93
Day Low
13.73M
Volume (0.9x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)