Conagra Brands, Inc.

CAG · Consumer Defensive · · USD

13.37 USD

0.00 (-2.90%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 16:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 22

Momentum 35

Fundamental 11

Macro 78

Liquidity 38

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	22.3	30%
Momentum	34.7	15%
Fundamental	11.1	10%
Macro	78.4	20%
Liquidity	38.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	13.37
Stop Loss	12.41 (7.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	14.33 (+7.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	15.29 (+14.4%)

ATR(14)	0.48 (3.6%)
Risk per Share	0.96
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	97.0	+1.88
Momentum	34.7	-0.61
Quality	16.6	-1.34
Composite	49.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 1 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	0.8	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	10.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

21.04%

Full Kelly

10.52%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 36/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.1%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.06

RSI(14)

0.0779

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-23.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-7.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.06	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.0779	BULLISH
Ma Cross	13.61 / 15.93	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.65x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	20.32
Bollinger Upper	14.41
SMA(200)	15.93
SMA(50)	13.61
SMA(20)	13.64
Current Price	13.37
Bollinger Lower	12.88
52-Week Low	12.53
ATR(14)	0.48

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-02	Normal	0.62x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.46x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.38x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.65x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	13.95	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	13.54	Base line
Senkou A	13.74	Leading span A
Senkou B	13.54	Leading span B
Cloud	13.54 – 13.74	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	13.37	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	12.86	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL