Conagra Brands, Inc.
CAG · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
42
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
80
Momentum
61
Fundamental
24
Macro
64
Liquidity
33
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 80.3 | 10% |
| Momentum | 61.0 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 24.1 | 40% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 32.7 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 15.48 |
| Stop Loss | 14.64 (5.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 16.32 (+5.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 17.16 (+10.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.42 (2.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.84 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 85.0 | +1.40 | |
| Momentum | 61.0 | +0.44 | |
| Quality | 3.8 | -1.85 | |
| Composite | 50.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.85
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.2 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 7.9% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
26.3%
Full Kelly
13.15%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 42/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.5%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
48.12
RSI(14)
0.2758
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
75
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+15.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | No (9d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +17.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 48.12 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.2758 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 14.94 / 15.42 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.8x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 20.32 |
| Bollinger Upper | 16.88 |
| SMA(200) | 15.42 |
| SMA(50) | 14.94 |
| SMA(20) | 15.82 |
| Current Price | 15.48 |
| Bollinger Lower | 14.75 |
| 52-Week Low | 12.53 |
| ATR(14) | 0.42 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 1.29x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 1.24x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.88x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.8x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 16.00 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 15.61 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 15.80 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 14.91 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 14.91 – 15.80 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 15.48 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 14.51 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 14.75 – 16.88 | KC: 15.2 – 16.43
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 26 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 14.26
Anchor: 2026-06-04 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+8.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 7.41B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.17 |
| EPS | -4.00 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 3.6% |
| Profit Margin | -17.0% |
| ROE | -25.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 117.58 |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 |
| Dividend Yield | 7.9% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | -0.03 |
Trading Data
15.48
Open
15.48
Day High
15.48
Day Low
7.72M
Volume (0.5x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)