Conagra Brands, Inc.
CAG · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
37
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
32
Momentum
41
Fundamental
28
Macro
65
Liquidity
28
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 32.3 | 10% |
| Momentum | 41.1 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 28.0 | 40% |
| Macro | 65.2 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 28.2 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 13.78 |
| Stop Loss | 12.81 (7.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 14.73 (+7.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 15.70 (+13.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.48 (3.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.96 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 87.8 | +1.51 | |
| Momentum | 41.1 | -0.36 | |
| Quality | 16.6 | -1.34 | |
| Composite | 48.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.69
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 0.8 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 10.5% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.8%
Recommended Size
22.16%
Full Kelly
11.08%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 37/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.2%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
51.33
RSI(14)
0.0748
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
18
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-20.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -4.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 51.33 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0748 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 13.61 / 15.92 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.12x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 20.32 |
| Bollinger Upper | 14.42 |
| SMA(200) | 15.92 |
| SMA(50) | 13.61 |
| SMA(20) | 13.66 |
| Current Price | 13.79 |
| Bollinger Lower | 12.91 |
| 52-Week Low | 12.53 |
| ATR(14) | 0.48 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Normal | 0.72x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-07 | Normal | 0.47x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-08 | Normal | 0.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-09 | Normal | 0.67x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-07-10 | Normal | 0.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 13.95 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 13.54 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 13.74 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 13.54 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 13.54 – 13.74 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 13.78 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 12.58 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 12.91 – 14.42 | KC: 12.93 – 14.4
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 19 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 13.69
Anchor: 2026-06-04 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+0.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CAG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 6.60B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 0.81 |
| EPS | -0.10 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -1.9% |
| Profit Margin | -0.4% |
| ROE | -0.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 89.81 |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 |
| Dividend Yield | 10.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | -0.05 |
Trading Data
13.79
Open
13.79
Day High
13.79
Day Low
2.52M
Volume (0.1x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)