Conagra Brands, Inc.
CAG · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
54
/ 100
Technical
60
Trend & RS
50
Momentum
68
Fundamental (0%)
24
Macro
24
Liquidity
46
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 60.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 50.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 68.0 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 23.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 46.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 15.51 |
| Stop Loss | 14.49 (6.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 16.53 (+6.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 17.55 (+13.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.51 (3.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.02 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 84.2 | +1.37 | |
| Momentum | 68.0 | +0.72 | |
| Quality | 5.7 | -1.77 | |
| Composite | 52.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
1
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.81
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.2 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
35.08%
Full Kelly
17.54%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
63.27
RSI(14)
0.1961
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
26
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+8.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | No (52d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -5.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 63.27 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.1961 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 14.41 / 14.82 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.22x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 20.32 |
| Bollinger Upper | 15.32 |
| SMA(200) | 14.82 |
| SMA(50) | 14.41 |
| SMA(20) | 14.2 |
| Current Price | 15.51 |
| Bollinger Lower | 13.08 |
| 52-Week Low | 12.53 |
| ATR(14) | 0.51 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.41x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.54x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.22x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 14.59 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 14.14 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 14.36 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 14.57 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 14.36 – 14.57 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 15.51 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 13.05 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 13.08 – 15.32 | KC: 13.46 – 14.95
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 15 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 14.10
Anchor: 2026-06-04 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+10.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CAG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 7.40B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.16 |
| EPS | -3.98 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -1.4% |
| Profit Margin | -17.0% |
| ROE | -24.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 121.16 |
| Current Ratio | 1.10 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | -0.00 |
Trading Data
15.51
Open
15.51
Day High
15.51
Day Low
12.39M
Volume (1.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)