Conagra Brands, Inc.

CAG · Consumer Defensive · · USD

13.79 USD

+0.00 (3.10%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 18:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 32

Momentum 41

Fundamental (0%) 28

Macro 65

Liquidity 28

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	32.3	20%
Momentum	41.1	20%
Fundamental	28.0	0%
Macro	65.2	15%
Liquidity	28.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	13.78
Stop Loss	12.81 (7.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	14.73 (+7.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	15.70 (+13.9%)

ATR(14)	0.48 (3.5%)
Risk per Share	0.96
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	87.8	+1.51
Momentum	41.1	-0.36
Quality	16.6	-1.34
Composite	48.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.69 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	0.8	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	10.5%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

29.43%

Full Kelly

14.72%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 46/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

51.33

RSI(14)

0.0748

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-20.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-4.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	51.33	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.0748	BULLISH
Ma Cross	13.61 / 15.92	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.12x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	20.32
Bollinger Upper	14.42
SMA(200)	15.92
SMA(50)	13.61
SMA(20)	13.66
Current Price	13.79
Bollinger Lower	12.91
52-Week Low	12.53
ATR(14)	0.48

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.47x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.4x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.67x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.12x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	13.95	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	13.54	Base line
Senkou A	13.74	Leading span A
Senkou B	13.54	Leading span B
Cloud	13.54 – 13.74	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	13.78	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	12.58	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH