Crown Castle Inc.

CCI · Real Estate · · USD

75.83 USD

0.00 (-1.85%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 24

Momentum 33

Fundamental (0%) 19

Macro 64

Liquidity 42

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	40%
Trend & RS	23.5	20%
Momentum	33.0	20%
Fundamental	18.7	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	41.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	75.83
Stop Loss	71.81 (5.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	79.85 (+5.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	83.87 (+10.6%)

ATR(14)	2.01 (2.6%)
Risk per Share	4.02
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	38.5	-0.46
Momentum	33.0	-0.68
Quality	31.0	-0.76
Composite	34.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 0.20 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	30.9	18.0	+72% above
P/B Ratio	-9.9	1.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	5.6%	4.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

30.24

Market Price

75.83

Upside

-60.1%

Margin of Safety	-150.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	3,524,845,292
Terminal Value PV	9,692,066,524
Total Enterprise Value	13,216,911,816

Assumptions

Base FCF	856,520,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

18.84%

Full Kelly

9.42%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 33/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 7.0%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

48.93

RSI(14)

-0.1854

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-23.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (60d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-17.0% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	48.93	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.1854	BULLISH
Ma Cross	76.41 / 83.55	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.04x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	100.50
Bollinger Upper	77.34
SMA(200)	83.55
SMA(50)	76.41
SMA(20)	75.34
Current Price	75.83
Bollinger Lower	73.34
52-Week Low	69.72
ATR(14)	2.01

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION C Confidence

56%

Upthrust (potential)

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 2.5 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.42x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.11x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.04x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	76.06	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	74.21	Base line
Senkou A	75.13	Leading span A
Senkou B	77.12	Leading span B
Cloud	75.13 – 77.12	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	75.83	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	76.30	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	NEUTRAL