Confluent, Inc.

CFLT · Technology · · USD

30.99 USD

+0.00 (0.00%)

● Updated 2026-03-25 15:01 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 75

Momentum 72

Fundamental 67

Macro 72

Liquidity 53

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	74.9	30%
Momentum	72.5	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	71.9	20%
Liquidity	53.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	30.99
Stop Loss	30.77 (0.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	31.21 (+0.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	31.43 (+1.4%)

ATR(14)	0.11 (0.3%)
Risk per Share	0.22
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	5.9	-1.76
Momentum	72.5	+0.90
Quality	31.7	-0.73
Composite	36.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 3 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 5.82 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	28.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	9.4	6.0	Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

43.97%

Full Kelly

21.99%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 67/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

73.35

RSI(14)

0.1264

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-4.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (31d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-28.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	73.35	OVERBOUGHT
Macd	0.1264	BEARISH
Ma Cross	30.58 / 24.86	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		UPPER BAND

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	31.00
Bollinger Upper	30.93
SMA(200)	24.86
SMA(50)	30.58
SMA(20)	30.73
Current Price	30.99
Bollinger Lower	30.53
52-Week Low	15.64
ATR(14)	0.11

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

60%

Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation) Buying Climax

Acc: 2.0 | Dist: 3.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-03-11	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-03-12	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-03-13	Normal	2.26x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-03-16	Normal	2.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-03-17	Normal	0.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	30.82	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	30.74	Base line
Senkou A	30.78	Leading span A
Senkou B	30.55	Leading span B
Cloud	30.55 – 30.78	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	30.99	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	30.58	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH