Confluent, Inc.
CFLT · Technology · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
59
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
81
Momentum
72
Fundamental
67
Macro
24
Liquidity
53
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 80.7 | 30% |
| Momentum | 72.5 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 53.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 30.99 |
| Stop Loss | 30.77 (0.7%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 31.21 (+0.7%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 31.43 (+1.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.11 (0.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.22 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 5.9 | -1.76 | |
| Momentum | 72.5 | +0.90 | |
| Quality | 31.7 | -0.73 | |
| Composite | 36.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
3
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
5.82
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 28.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 9.4 | 6.0 | Above |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
38.85%
Full Kelly
19.42%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
73.35
RSI(14)
0.1264
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
76
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+8.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -2.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 73.35 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 0.1264 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 30.58 / 24.86 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 31.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 30.93 |
| SMA(200) | 24.86 |
| SMA(50) | 30.58 |
| SMA(20) | 30.73 |
| Current Price | 30.99 |
| Bollinger Lower | 30.53 |
| 52-Week Low | 15.64 |
| ATR(14) | 0.11 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
60%
Buying Climax
Volume Dry-Up (Accumulation)
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 3.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Normal | 0.77x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-03-12 | Normal | 0.72x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-03-13 | Normal | 2.26x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-03-16 | Normal | 2.81x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-03-17 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 30.82 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 30.74 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 30.78 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 30.55 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 30.55 – 30.78 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 30.99 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 30.58 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 30.53 – 30.93 | KC: 30.6 – 30.87
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 9 | |
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 25 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 26.74
Anchor: 2025-08-12 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+15.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CFLT
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 11.13B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 9.44 |
| EPS | -0.86 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 20.5% |
| Profit Margin | -25.3% |
| ROE | -27.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 94.55 |
| Current Ratio | 3.83 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.95 |
Trading Data
30.99
Open
30.99
Day High
30.99
Day Low
15.24M
Volume (1.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)