Church & Dwight Co., Inc.
CHD · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)
77
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
86
Momentum
67
Fundamental (0%)
83
Macro
24
Liquidity
52
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 86.3 | 20% |
| Momentum | 66.9 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 51.7 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 108.55 |
| Stop Loss | 103.27 (4.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 113.83 (+4.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 119.11 (+9.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.64 (2.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 5.28 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 37.7 | -0.49 | |
| Momentum | 66.9 | +0.68 | |
| Quality | 37.8 | -0.49 | |
| Composite | 47.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
8.86
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 34.1 | 18.0 | +90% above |
| P/B Ratio | 5.9 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
40.24
vs
Market Price
111.33
Upside
-63.9%
| Margin of Safety | -176.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,533,267,906 |
| Terminal Value PV | 6,965,582,603 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 9,498,850,509 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 615,571,592 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
49.71%
Full Kelly
24.86%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
60.25
RSI(14)
2.9775
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
65
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+10.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 2d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | -2.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 60.25 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.9775 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 100.15 / 97.84 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.03x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 114.64 |
| Bollinger Upper | 112.66 |
| SMA(200) | 97.84 |
| SMA(50) | 100.15 |
| SMA(20) | 105.96 |
| Current Price | 111.33 |
| Bollinger Lower | 99.26 |
| 52-Week Low | 81.49 |
| ATR(14) | 2.64 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.17x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 109.22 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 104.28 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 106.75 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 103.84 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 103.84 – 106.75 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 108.55 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 94.31 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 99.26 – 112.66 | KC: 101.92 – 110.01
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 95.71
Anchor: 2025-12-08 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+13.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CHD
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 26.28B |
| P/E (TTM) | 34.15 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.89 |
| EPS | 3.26 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 1.0% |
| Profit Margin | 12.4% |
| ROE | 17.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 52.94 |
| Current Ratio | 0.96 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.45 |
Trading Data
111.33
Open
111.33
Day High
111.33
Day Low
2.03M
Volume (1.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)