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Colgate-Palmolive Company

CL · Consumer Defensive · · USD
88.77 USD
0.00 (-1.47%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

60
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 65
Momentum 48
Fundamental 78
Macro 64
Liquidity 51
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 20%
Trend & RS 65.3 30%
Momentum 47.9 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 50.9 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 88.77
Stop Loss 85.21 (4.0%)
Target 1 (1:1) 92.33 (+4.0%)
Target 2 (2:1) 95.89 (+8.0%)
ATR(14) 1.78 (2.0%)
Risk per Share 3.56
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 28.3 -0.87
Momentum 47.9 -0.08
Quality 51.5 +0.06
Composite 42.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 9.74 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 35.0 18.0 +94% above
P/B Ratio 299.9 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 2.4% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
35.52
vs
Market Price
88.77
Upside
-60.0%
Margin of Safety -149.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)7,229,884,662
Terminal Value PV21,087,818,326
Total Enterprise Value28,317,702,988

Assumptions

Base FCF1,619,855,189
Growth Rate (5yr)4.9%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
39.44%
Full Kelly
19.72%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
40.3
RSI(14)
-0.5457
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

75
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-3.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance -1.7% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 40.3 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.5457 BEARISH
Ma Cross 91.67 / 86.94 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.03x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High99.33
Bollinger Upper93.56
SMA(200)86.94
SMA(50)91.67
SMA(20)91.1
Current Price88.77
Bollinger Lower88.65
52-Week Low74.55
ATR(14)1.78

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.48x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.04x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.34x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.03x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 90.60 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 91.41 Base line
Senkou A 91.00 Leading span A
Senkou B 92.06 Leading span B
Cloud 91.00 – 92.06 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 88.77 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 91.30 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 88.65 – 93.56  |  KC: 88.7 – 93.51

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 85.93 Anchor: 2025-11-03 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +3.3%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/CL

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap70.77B
P/E (TTM)34.95
Forward P/EN/A
P/B299.90
EPS2.54

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth4.9%
Profit Margin9.7%
ROE2.7%
Debt/Equity1388.16
Current Ratio1.03
Dividend Yield2.4%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.32

Trading Data

88.77
Open
88.77
Day High
88.77
Day Low
3.98M
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —