Colgate-Palmolive Company
CL · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)
76
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
83
Momentum
61
Fundamental (0%)
78
Macro
24
Liquidity
61
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 83.4 | 20% |
| Momentum | 61.2 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 61.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 96.01 |
| Stop Loss | 91.27 (4.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 100.75 (+4.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 105.49 (+9.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 2.37 (2.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 4.74 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 24.3 | -1.03 | |
| Momentum | 61.2 | +0.45 | |
| Quality | 50.8 | +0.03 | |
| Composite | 45.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
10.47
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 38.4 | 18.0 | +113% above |
| P/B Ratio | 272.6 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
35.49
vs
Market Price
98.69
Upside
-64.0%
| Margin of Safety | -178.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 7,233,849,206 |
| Terminal Value PV | 20,974,096,229 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 28,207,945,435 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,634,356,575 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 4.6% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
49.03%
Full Kelly
24.51%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 76/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
57.6
RSI(14)
2.2059
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
58
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+8.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -4.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 57.6 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.2059 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 89.77 / 89.05 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 101.18 |
| Bollinger Upper | 99.41 |
| SMA(200) | 89.05 |
| SMA(50) | 89.77 |
| SMA(20) | 94.05 |
| Current Price | 98.69 |
| Bollinger Lower | 88.69 |
| 52-Week Low | 75.96 |
| ATR(14) | 2.37 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.03x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.08x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.26x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Supply | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 95.83 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 92.35 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 94.09 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 92.35 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 92.35 – 94.09 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 96.01 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 83.78 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 88.69 – 99.41 | KC: 90.35 – 97.75
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 88.17
Anchor: 2026-01-05 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+8.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CL
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 78.45B |
| P/E (TTM) | 38.40 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 272.62 |
| EPS | 2.57 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 4.6% |
| Profit Margin | 9.6% |
| ROE | 2.3% |
| Debt/Equity | 1205.62 |
| Current Ratio | 0.96 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.31 |
Trading Data
98.69
Open
98.69
Day High
98.69
Day Low
6.20M
Volume (1.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)