Centene Corporation
CNC · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
75
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
99
Momentum
81
Fundamental
56
Macro
23
Liquidity
66
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 98.8 | 30% |
| Momentum | 81.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 66.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 74.17 |
| Stop Loss | 67.51 (9.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 80.83 (+9.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 87.49 (+18.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.33 (4.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 6.66 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 71.2 | +0.85 | |
| Momentum | 81.0 | +1.24 | |
| Quality | 24.7 | -1.01 | |
| Composite | 59.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 25.5 | 22.0 | +16% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.6 | 4.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 1.5% | Below avg |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
35.92
vs
Market Price
74.17
Upside
-51.6%
| Margin of Safety | -106.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,742,970,134 |
| Terminal Value PV | 13,041,475,081 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 17,784,445,215 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,152,518,321 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
48.86%
Full Kelly
24.43%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
63.04
RSI(14)
1.4948
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
96
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+17.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -0.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 63.04 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.4948 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 66.57 / 55.85 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.39x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 78.08 |
| Bollinger Upper | 74.37 |
| SMA(200) | 55.85 |
| SMA(50) | 66.57 |
| SMA(20) | 69.36 |
| Current Price | 74.17 |
| Bollinger Lower | 64.35 |
| 52-Week Low | 31.63 |
| ATR(14) | 3.33 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
64%
Sign of Strength
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 3.5 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.86x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.85x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 2.72x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.39x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 71.47 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 68.77 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 70.12 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 68.77 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 68.77 – 70.12 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 74.17 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 60.99 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 64.35 – 74.37 | KC: 64.5 – 74.22
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 59.99
Anchor: 2026-03-30 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+23.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CNC
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 36.72B |
| P/E (TTM) | 25.49 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.65 |
| EPS | 2.91 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 0.2% |
| Profit Margin | 0.8% |
| ROE | 6.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 69.67 |
| Current Ratio | 1.16 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.08 |
Trading Data
74.17
Open
74.17
Day High
74.17
Day Low
7.70M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)