Centene Corporation
CNC · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
56
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
99
Momentum
71
Fundamental
56
Macro
24
Liquidity
36
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 98.8 | 10% |
| Momentum | 71.2 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 35.6 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 71.88 |
| Stop Loss | 65.30 (9.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 78.46 (+9.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 85.04 (+18.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.29 (4.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 6.58 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 72.0 | +0.88 | |
| Momentum | 71.2 | +0.85 | |
| Quality | 24.7 | -1.01 | |
| Composite | 55.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.9 | 22.0 | +13% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.6 | 4.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 1.5% | Below avg |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
35.92
vs
Market Price
72.54
Upside
-50.5%
| Margin of Safety | -101.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,742,970,095 |
| Terminal Value PV | 13,041,474,968 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 17,784,445,063 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,152,518,312 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
37.02%
Full Kelly
18.51%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
57.04
RSI(14)
1.5293
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
96
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+12.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | No (2d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -4.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 57.04 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.5293 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 66.7 / 55.98 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 78.08 |
| Bollinger Upper | 74.44 |
| SMA(200) | 55.98 |
| SMA(50) | 66.7 |
| SMA(20) | 69.69 |
| Current Price | 72.54 |
| Bollinger Lower | 64.93 |
| 52-Week Low | 31.63 |
| ATR(14) | 3.29 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
100%
Upthrust (potential)
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 4.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.87x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 2.79x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.42x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 71.47 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 69.41 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 70.44 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 68.77 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 68.77 – 70.44 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 71.88 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 62.99 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
1 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 64.93 – 74.44 | KC: 64.84 – 74.54
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 59.99
Anchor: 2026-03-30 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+19.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CNC
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 35.91B |
| P/E (TTM) | 24.93 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.62 |
| EPS | 2.91 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 0.2% |
| Profit Margin | 0.8% |
| ROE | 6.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 69.67 |
| Current Ratio | 1.16 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.08 |
Trading Data
72.54
Open
72.54
Day High
72.54
Day Low
240.3K
Volume (0.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)