Coinbase Global, Inc.
COIN · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
32
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
38
Momentum
14
Fundamental
52
Macro
54
Liquidity
47
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 37.6 | 30% |
| Momentum | 14.1 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 51.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 54.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 47.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 134.76 |
| Stop Loss | 113.12 (16.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 156.40 (+16.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 178.04 (+32.1%) |
| ATR(14) | 10.82 (8.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 21.64 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 39.2 | -0.43 | |
| Momentum | 14.1 | -1.44 | |
| Quality | 21.9 | -1.12 | |
| Composite | 25.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.08
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 2.6 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
17.66%
Full Kelly
8.83%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 32/100. Estimated win rate 50%, avg win 6.9%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
33.43
RSI(14)
-10.654
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
56
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-4.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | No (33d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -10.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 33.43 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -10.654 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 175.35 / 175.99 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.89x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 324.80 |
| Bollinger Upper | 192.71 |
| SMA(200) | 175.99 |
| SMA(50) | 175.35 |
| SMA(20) | 161.77 |
| Current Price | 134.76 |
| Bollinger Lower | 130.84 |
| 52-Week Low | 131.55 |
| ATR(14) | 10.82 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.25x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.07x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.47x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Spring | 0.89x | Price broke below support then recovered on low volume — potential reversal |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 147.57 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 165.95 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 156.76 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 169.94 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 156.76 – 169.94 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 134.76 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 183.00 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 130.84 – 192.71 | KC: 146.0 – 177.55
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | MACD | 13 | |
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 22 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 174.58
Anchor: 2026-08-14 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-22.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/COIN
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 35.68B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.56 |
| EPS | -2.77 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -34.2% |
| Profit Margin | -12.9% |
| ROE | -4.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 49.40 |
| Current Ratio | 2.42 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 3.35 |
Trading Data
134.76
Open
134.76
Day High
134.76
Day Low
7.54M
Volume (0.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)