Coinbase Global, Inc.

COIN · Financial Services · · USD

216.60 USD

+0.00 (7.68%)

● Updated 2026-05-12 11:49 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 40

Trend & RS 62

Momentum 63

Fundamental (0%) 83

Macro 65

Liquidity 57

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	40.0	40%
Trend & RS	62.2	20%
Momentum	62.8	20%
Fundamental	83.3	0%
Macro	65.1	15%
Liquidity	56.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	216.60
Stop Loss	191.36 (11.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	241.84 (+11.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	267.08 (+23.3%)

ATR(14)	12.62 (5.8%)
Risk per Share	25.24
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	20.2	-1.19
Momentum	62.8	+0.51
Quality	41.9	-0.32
Composite	41.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 5.37 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	79.3	18.0	+341% above
P/B Ratio	4.2	2.5	Above

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

33.70

Market Price

216.60

Upside

-84.4%

Margin of Safety	-542.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	1,999,136,490
Terminal Value PV	5,496,911,842
Total Enterprise Value	7,496,048,332

Assumptions

Base FCF	485,780,295
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

35.08%

Full Kelly

17.54%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

62.56

RSI(14)

4.3312

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+22.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (38d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+29.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	62.56	NEUTRAL
Macd	4.3312	BULLISH
Ma Cross	191.04 / 257.94	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		UPPER BAND
Volume	1.31x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	444.65
Bollinger Upper	214.87
SMA(200)	257.94
SMA(50)	191.04
SMA(20)	197.95
Current Price	216.60
Bollinger Lower	181.02
52-Week Low	139.36
ATR(14)	12.62

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-05	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06	Normal	0.75x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	1.24x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	1.31x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	197.74	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	190.49	Base line
Senkou A	194.11	Leading span A
Senkou B	188.16	Leading span B
Cloud	188.16 – 194.11	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	216.60	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	174.79	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH