Copart, Inc.
CPRT · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
62
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
54
Momentum
60
Fundamental
83
Macro
64
Liquidity
41
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 53.7 | 10% |
| Momentum | 60.2 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 40% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 40.8 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 33.72 |
| Stop Loss | 31.58 (6.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 35.86 (+6.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 38.00 (+12.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.07 (3.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 63.4 | +0.53 | |
| Momentum | 60.2 | +0.41 | |
| Quality | 80.7 | +1.23 | |
| Composite | 68.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
203.89
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 20.9 | 18.0 | +16% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.6 | 3.0 | Above |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
19.96
vs
Market Price
33.72
Upside
-40.8%
| Margin of Safety | -68.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,921,094,629 |
| Terminal Value PV | 13,559,546,203 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 18,480,640,832 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,192,445,189 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
40.75%
Full Kelly
20.37%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 62/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
64.09
RSI(14)
0.9108
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
34
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+4.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (11d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +8.7% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 64.09 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.9108 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 30.08 / 34.45 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.66x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 49.16 |
| Bollinger Upper | 35.52 |
| SMA(200) | 34.45 |
| SMA(50) | 30.08 |
| SMA(20) | 32.2 |
| Current Price | 33.72 |
| Bollinger Lower | 28.89 |
| 52-Week Low | 26.81 |
| ATR(14) | 1.07 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 0.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | No Demand | 0.56x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 0.65x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 0.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.66x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 33.16 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 31.59 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 32.38 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 30.72 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 30.72 – 32.38 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 33.72 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 29.12 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 28.89 – 35.52 | KC: 30.53 – 33.88
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 18 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 30.95
Anchor: 2026-07-23 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+9.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CPRT
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 31.22B |
| P/E (TTM) | 20.94 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.56 |
| EPS | 1.61 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 2.1% |
| Profit Margin | 33.5% |
| ROE | 17.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 1.06 |
| Current Ratio | 7.61 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.03 |
Trading Data
33.72
Open
33.72
Day High
33.72
Day Low
6.59M
Volume (0.6x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)