CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

CRWD · Technology · · USD

213.10 USD

0.00 (-0.87%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 18:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 97

Momentum 81

Fundamental 78

Macro 64

Liquidity 56

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	96.8	30%
Momentum	81.3	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	55.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	213.10
Stop Loss	188.32 (11.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	237.88 (+11.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	262.66 (+23.3%)

ATR(14)	12.39 (5.8%)
Risk per Share	24.78
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	0.0	-2.00
Momentum	81.3	+1.25
Quality	25.1	-1.00
Composite	35.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	5327.5	28.0	+18927% above
P/B Ratio	42.8	6.0	Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

1.25

Market Price

213.10

Upside

-99.4%

Margin of Safety	-16992.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	251,742,885
Terminal Value PV	1,024,826,629
Total Enterprise Value	1,276,569,514

Assumptions

Base FCF	32,765,916
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

54.07%

Full Kelly

27.03%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 85/100. Estimated win rate 65%, avg win 10.1%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

53.12

RSI(14)

3.9478

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+22.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (4d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+33.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	53.12	NEUTRAL
Macd	3.9478	BULLISH
Ma Cross	200.81 / 142.49	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.81x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	233.88
Bollinger Upper	239.4
SMA(200)	142.49
SMA(50)	200.81
SMA(20)	210.56
Current Price	213.10
Bollinger Lower	181.72
52-Week Low	85.68
ATR(14)	12.39

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence

69%

Buying Climax Upthrust (potential)

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 4.5 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.33x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.17x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	207.56	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	207.56	Base line
Senkou A	207.56	Leading span A
Senkou B	200.56	Leading span B
Cloud	200.56 – 207.56	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	213.10	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	190.86	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH