CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
CRWD · Technology · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
61
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
80
Momentum
65
Fundamental
89
Macro
24
Liquidity
77
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 79.6 | 30% |
| Momentum | 65.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 76.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 217.20 |
| Stop Loss | 188.76 (13.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 245.64 (+13.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 274.08 (+26.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 14.22 (6.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 28.44 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0.0 | -2.00 | |
| Momentum | 59.1 | +0.36 | |
| Quality | 25.1 | -1.00 | |
| Composite | 28.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
163.40
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 4344.0 | 28.0 | +15414% above |
| P/B Ratio | 43.6 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
1.56
vs
Market Price
217.20
Upside
-99.3%
| Margin of Safety | -13837.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 314,678,595 |
| Terminal Value PV | 1,281,033,232 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 1,595,711,827 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 40,957,394 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
40.16%
Full Kelly
20.08%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
35.45
RSI(14)
-2.2125
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
98
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+6.3% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (22d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -4.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 35.45 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -2.2125 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 244.0 / 169.72 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.86x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 286.99 |
| Bollinger Upper | 280.05 |
| SMA(200) | 169.72 |
| SMA(50) | 244.0 |
| SMA(20) | 248.18 |
| Current Price | 217.20 |
| Bollinger Lower | 216.31 |
| 52-Week Low | 85.68 |
| ATR(14) | 14.22 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.31x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.66x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.86x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 242.75 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 250.11 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 246.43 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 234.12 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 234.12 – 246.43 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 217.20 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 266.09 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 216.31 – 280.05 | KC: 226.79 – 269.57
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 164.11
Anchor: 2026-02-23 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+32.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/CRWD
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 222.40B |
| P/E (TTM) | 4344.00 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 43.59 |
| EPS | 0.05 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 25.8% |
| Profit Margin | 0.8% |
| ROE | 1.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 15.96 |
| Current Ratio | 1.57 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.15 |
Trading Data
217.20
Open
217.20
Day High
217.20
Day Low
17.67M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)