Cintas Corporation

CTAS · Industrials · · USD

200.47 USD

0.00 (-0.29%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 89

Momentum 59

Fundamental 83

Macro 64

Liquidity 46

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	88.7	30%
Momentum	58.8	15%
Fundamental	83.3	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	46.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	200.47
Stop Loss	192.85 (3.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	208.09 (+3.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	215.71 (+7.6%)

ATR(14)	3.81 (1.9%)
Risk per Share	7.62
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	9.7	-1.61
Momentum	58.8	+0.35
Quality	60.7	+0.43
Composite	43.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 21.53 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	40.8	18.0	+127% above
P/B Ratio	15.6	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.0%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

81.24

Market Price

200.47

Upside

-59.5%

Margin of Safety	-146.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	7,837,725,437
Terminal Value PV	24,673,624,316
Total Enterprise Value	32,511,349,753

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,571,866,036
Growth Rate (5yr)	8.9%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

48.05%

Full Kelly

24.02%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 74/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

49.07

RSI(14)

0.7312

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+7.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+11.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	49.07	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.7312	BEARISH
Ma Cross	196.93 / 185.97	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.79x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	219.17
Bollinger Upper	207.47
SMA(200)	185.97
SMA(50)	196.93
SMA(20)	202.28
Current Price	200.47
Bollinger Lower	197.08
52-Week Low	161.16
ATR(14)	3.81

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.29x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	202.33	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	202.37	Base line
Senkou A	202.35	Leading span A
Senkou B	192.99	Leading span B
Cloud	192.99 – 202.35	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	200.47	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	204.10	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	NEUTRAL