DraftKings Inc.

DKNG · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

26.29 USD

0.00 (-3.24%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 16:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 57

Momentum 38

Fundamental 56

Macro 78

Liquidity 48

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	57.0	30%
Momentum	37.6	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	78.4	20%
Liquidity	48.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	26.29
Stop Loss	23.65 (10.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	28.93 (+10.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	31.57 (+20.1%)

ATR(14)	1.32 (5.0%)
Risk per Share	2.64
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	0.0	-2.00
Momentum	37.6	-0.50
Quality	24.2	-1.03
Composite	20.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	292.1	18.0	+1523% above
P/B Ratio	21.6	2.5	Above

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

2.05

Market Price

26.29

Upside

-92.2%

Margin of Safety	-1183.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	220,809,863
Terminal Value PV	795,828,002
Total Enterprise Value	1,016,637,865

Assumptions

Base FCF	35,721,278
Growth Rate (5yr)	16.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

37.02%

Full Kelly

18.51%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

51.66

RSI(14)

0.1864

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (-1.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (18d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+12.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	51.66	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.1864	BULLISH
Ma Cross	25.5 / 28.7	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.07x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	48.78
Bollinger Upper	29.98
SMA(200)	28.7
SMA(50)	25.5
SMA(20)	26.56
Current Price	26.29
Bollinger Lower	23.15
52-Week Low	20.46
ATR(14)	1.32

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-02	No Supply	0.58x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-07-06	Normal	0.75x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.07x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	25.34	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	26.60	Base line
Senkou A	25.97	Leading span A
Senkou B	25.89	Leading span B
Cloud	25.89 – 25.97	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	26.29	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	25.30	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	BULLISH