DraftKings Inc.

DKNG · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

26.77 USD

+0.00 (1.83%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 66

Momentum 41

Fundamental 56

Macro 71

Liquidity 31

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	20%
Trend & RS	65.5	30%
Momentum	41.0	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	71.2	20%
Liquidity	31.2	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	26.73
Stop Loss	24.18 (9.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	29.27 (+9.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	31.80 (+19.0%)

ATR(14)	1.27 (4.8%)
Risk per Share	2.54
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	0.0	-2.00
Momentum	41.0	-0.36
Quality	24.2	-1.03
Composite	21.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	297.4	18.0	+1552% above
P/B Ratio	21.9	2.5	Above

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

2.05

Market Price

26.77

Upside

-92.3%

Margin of Safety	-1206.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	220,809,854
Terminal Value PV	795,827,982
Total Enterprise Value	1,016,637,836

Assumptions

Base FCF	35,721,277
Growth Rate (5yr)	16.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

37.57%

Full Kelly

18.78%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 57/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

53.84

RSI(14)

0.2155

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+9.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (19d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+23.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	53.84	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.2155	BULLISH
Ma Cross	25.57 / 28.61	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.05x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	48.78
Bollinger Upper	29.71
SMA(200)	28.61
SMA(50)	25.57
SMA(20)	26.46
Current Price	26.77
Bollinger Lower	23.21
52-Week Low	20.46
ATR(14)	1.27

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.78x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.86x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.21x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	26.06	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	26.60	Base line
Senkou A	26.33	Leading span A
Senkou B	26.46	Leading span B
Cloud	26.33 – 26.46	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	26.73	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	25.11	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL