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DraftKings Inc.

DKNG · Consumer Cyclical · · USD
26.97 USD
+0.00 (2.59%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 18:11 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

56
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 67
Momentum 44
Fundamental 66
Macro 65
Liquidity 31
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 10%
Trend & RS 67.1 10%
Momentum 44.0 5%
Fundamental 65.8 40%
Macro 65.2 15%
Liquidity 31.3 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 27.23
Stop Loss 24.66 (9.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 29.82 (+9.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 32.40 (+18.9%)
ATR(14) 1.29 (4.7%)
Risk per Share 2.58
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 44.0 -0.24
Quality 24.2 -1.03
Composite 22.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 3.80 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 299.7 18.0 +1565% above
P/B Ratio 22.1 2.5 Above

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
2.05
vs
Market Price
26.97
Upside
-92.4%
Margin of Safety -1216.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)220,809,844
Terminal Value PV795,827,941
Total Enterprise Value1,016,637,785

Assumptions

Base FCF35,721,275
Growth Rate (5yr)16.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
36.96%
Full Kelly
18.48%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
56.16
RSI(14)
0.2561
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

67
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+11.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High No (19d since high)
Sector Outperformance +22.7% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 56.16 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.2561 BULLISH
Ma Cross 25.58 / 28.62 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.16x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High48.78
Bollinger Upper29.76
SMA(200)28.62
SMA(50)25.58
SMA(20)26.48
Current Price26.97
Bollinger Lower23.21
52-Week Low20.46
ATR(14)1.29

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 0.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.78x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.86x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 1.2x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Supply 0.16x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 26.06 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 26.60 Base line
Senkou A 26.33 Leading span A
Senkou B 26.46 Leading span B
Cloud 26.33 – 26.46 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 27.23 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 25.11 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 23.21 – 29.76  |  KC: 24.5 – 28.47

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 24.87 Anchor: 2026-03-30 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +9.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/DKNG

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap13.38B
P/E (TTM)299.67
Forward P/EN/A
P/B22.11
EPS0.09

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth16.8%
Profit Margin0.9%
ROE7.9%
Debt/Equity316.98
Current Ratio1.02
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.64

Trading Data

26.97
Open
26.97
Day High
26.97
Day Low
2.15M
Volume (0.2x avg)

Recent News (8)

DraftKings (DKNG) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note
Zacks · 2026-07-09
Investor Michael Burry Bets Against Prediction Markets
CryptoProwl · 2026-07-09
Michael Burry Bets on Sportsbooks DraftKings and Flutter, Sending Stocks Higher After-Hours
Stocktwits · 2026-07-08
Michael Burry buys Flutter, DraftKings shares betting prediction-market threat will fade
Reuters · 2026-07-08
Michael Burry bets big on online gambling, snubs prediction markets
Investing.com · 2026-07-08
DraftKings (DKNG) Launches DKeX, Is The Stock Still Undervalued?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-07
DraftKings (DKNG) Surpasses Market Returns: Some Facts Worth Knowing
Zacks · 2026-07-06
Mark Zuckerberg wants in on prediction markets. Meta's reported plans sent these stocks lower as a result
Moneywise · 2026-07-06

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —