Domino's Pizza, Inc.

DPZ · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

341.08 USD

0.00 (-1.71%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 51

Momentum 46

Fundamental 58

Macro 64

Liquidity 39

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	20%
Trend & RS	50.9	30%
Momentum	46.0	15%
Fundamental	57.7	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	39.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	341.08
Stop Loss	318.14 (6.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	364.02 (+6.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	386.96 (+13.4%)

ATR(14)	11.47 (3.4%)
Risk per Share	22.94
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	59.3	+0.37
Momentum	46.0	-0.16
Quality	36.7	-0.53
Composite	47.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.99 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	19.4	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	-2.8	2.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	2.3%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

240.32

Market Price

341.08

Upside

-29.5%

Margin of Safety	-41.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,047,940,713
Terminal Value PV	5,902,420,399
Total Enterprise Value	7,950,361,112

Assumptions

Base FCF	466,584,790
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

30.87%

Full Kelly

15.44%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 48/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.9%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

49.35

RSI(14)

1.4373

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+4.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+4.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	49.35	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.4373	BEARISH
Ma Cross	333.69 / 362.04	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.78x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	467.22
Bollinger Upper	357.98
SMA(200)	362.04
SMA(50)	333.69
SMA(20)	344.16
Current Price	341.08
Bollinger Lower	330.34
52-Week Low	282.00
ATR(14)	11.47

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	3.08x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.73x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.78x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	342.49	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	350.44	Base line
Senkou A	346.47	Leading span A
Senkou B	327.78	Leading span B
Cloud	327.78 – 346.47	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	341.08	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	347.44	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	NEUTRAL