Domino's Pizza, Inc.
DPZ · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
45
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
43
Momentum
55
Fundamental (0%)
53
Macro
24
Liquidity
45
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 42.9 | 20% |
| Momentum | 55.1 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 52.6 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 45.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 330.82 |
| Stop Loss | 310.72 (6.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 350.92 (+6.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 371.02 (+12.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 10.05 (3.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 20.10 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 60.6 | +0.42 | |
| Momentum | 55.1 | +0.21 | |
| Quality | 22.0 | -1.12 | |
| Composite | 45.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
3.04
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18.8 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | -2.8 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
238.04
vs
Market Price
341.63
Upside
-30.3%
| Margin of Safety | -43.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,044,419,314 |
| Terminal Value PV | 5,786,169,627 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 7,830,588,941 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 477,650,733 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 3.4% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
29.05%
Full Kelly
14.52%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 45/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
60.48
RSI(14)
6.3378
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
32
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+0.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -5.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 60.48 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 6.3378 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 312.77 / 337.76 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 442.35 |
| Bollinger Upper | 339.31 |
| SMA(200) | 337.76 |
| SMA(50) | 312.77 |
| SMA(20) | 314.89 |
| Current Price | 341.63 |
| Bollinger Lower | 290.48 |
| 52-Week Low | 282.00 |
| ATR(14) | 10.05 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.6x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.1x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.94x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Supply | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 325.00 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 314.00 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 319.50 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 316.92 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 316.92 – 319.50 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 330.82 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 297.62 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 290.48 – 339.31 | KC: 299.08 – 330.71
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 8 | |
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 12 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 319.05
Anchor: 2026-06-23 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+3.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DPZ
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 11.24B |
| P/E (TTM) | 18.82 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | -2.84 |
| EPS | 18.15 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 3.4% |
| Profit Margin | 12.0% |
| ROE | N/A |
| Debt/Equity | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 0.49 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.97 |
Trading Data
341.63
Open
341.63
Day High
341.63
Day Low
771.7K
Volume (1.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)