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Duke Energy Corporation

DUK · Utilities · · USD
120.22 USD
0.00 (-0.97%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 18:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)

46
/ 100
Technical 25
Trend & RS 47
Momentum 43
Fundamental 44
Macro 64
Liquidity 51
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 25.0 20%
Trend & RS 47.2 30%
Momentum 43.3 15%
Fundamental 44.4 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 51.0 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 120.22
Stop Loss 116.44 (3.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 124.00 (+3.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 127.78 (+6.3%)
ATR(14) 1.89 (1.6%)
Risk per Share 3.78
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 78.9 +1.16
Momentum 43.3 -0.27
Quality 32.1 -0.72
Composite 51.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 18.1 16.0 +13% above
P/B Ratio 1.7 1.8 Inline
Dividend Yield 3.6% 3.5% Above avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
81.97
vs
Market Price
120.22
Upside
-31.8%
Margin of Safety -46.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)17,044,700,319
Terminal Value PV46,866,842,543
Total Enterprise Value63,911,542,862

Assumptions

Base FCF4,141,778,009
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
29.13%
Full Kelly
14.56%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 46/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
41.84
RSI(14)
-0.9916
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

55
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-7.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Utilities)
RS New High No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance -0.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 41.84 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.9916 BEARISH
Ma Cross 123.99 / 122.34 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.78x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High134.49
Bollinger Upper124.61
SMA(200)122.34
SMA(50)123.99
SMA(20)121.74
Current Price120.22
Bollinger Lower118.86
52-Week Low113.90
ATR(14)1.89

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence
75%
Selling Climax
Acc: 3.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.04x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.77x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.83x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.82x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.78x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 120.81 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 122.35 Base line
Senkou A 121.58 Leading span A
Senkou B 125.27 Leading span B
Cloud 121.58 – 125.27 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 120.22 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 124.34 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 118.86 – 124.61  |  KC: 119.01 – 124.46

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bullish MACD 5
Regular Bullish RSI 11
Regular Bullish MACD 11

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 122.91 Anchor: 2025-12-10 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -2.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/DUK

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap93.74B
P/E (TTM)18.11
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.74
EPS6.64

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth1.1%
Profit Margin16.0%
ROE9.9%
Debt/Equity162.16
Current Ratio0.66
Dividend Yield3.6%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.36

Trading Data

120.22
Open
120.22
Day High
120.22
Day Low
3.20M
Volume (0.8x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —