Devon Energy Corporation
DVN · Energy · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
59
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
54
Momentum
29
Fundamental
79
Macro
24
Liquidity
59
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 54.2 | 10% |
| Momentum | 28.6 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 79.3 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 59.4 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 41.60 |
| Stop Loss | 38.12 (8.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 45.08 (+8.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 48.56 (+16.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.74 (4.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.48 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 88.9 | +1.55 | |
| Momentum | 28.6 | -0.86 | |
| Quality | 34.8 | -0.61 | |
| Composite | 50.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.60
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 10.7 | 10.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.2 | 1.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
124.67
vs
Market Price
42.88
Upside
+190.7%
| Margin of Safety | +65.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 27,044,412,608 |
| Terminal Value PV | 110,095,798,986 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 137,140,211,594 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,520,000,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
38.78%
Full Kelly
19.39%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
26.74
RSI(14)
-1.0455
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
60
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-2.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (9d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -13.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 26.74 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -1.0455 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 48.57 / 45.74 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.09x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 52.71 |
| Bollinger Upper | 55.08 |
| SMA(200) | 45.74 |
| SMA(50) | 48.57 |
| SMA(20) | 49.16 |
| Current Price | 42.88 |
| Bollinger Lower | 43.23 |
| 52-Week Low | 32.49 |
| ATR(14) | 1.74 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
100%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.22x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Stopping Volume | 2.02x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.51x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.09x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 46.44 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 46.44 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 46.44 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 46.44 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 46.44 – 46.44 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 41.60 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 47.65 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 43.23 – 55.08 | KC: 46.67 – 51.64
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 10 | |
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 10 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 44.15
Anchor: 2025-11-06 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-5.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DVN
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 47.17B |
| P/E (TTM) | 10.72 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.17 |
| EPS | 4.00 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 68.7% |
| Profit Margin | 16.7% |
| ROE | 12.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 26.28 |
| Current Ratio | 0.70 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
42.88
Open
42.88
Day High
42.88
Day Low
14.02M
Volume (1.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)