Devon Energy Corporation

DVN · Energy · · USD

48.06 USD

0.00 (-1.50%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 95

Momentum 59

Fundamental 78

Macro 64

Liquidity 47

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	10%
Trend & RS	94.7	10%
Momentum	58.8	5%
Fundamental	78.3	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	47.0	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	48.06
Stop Loss	45.60 (5.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	50.52 (+5.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	52.98 (+10.2%)

ATR(14)	1.23 (2.6%)
Risk per Share	2.46
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	86.9	+1.48
Momentum	58.8	+0.35
Quality	34.7	-0.61
Composite	60.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 4.50 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	10.4	10.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	1.3	1.5	Below
Dividend Yield	2.7%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Energy median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

143.37

Market Price

48.06

Upside

+198.3%

Margin of Safety	+66.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	31,101,074,498
Terminal Value PV	126,610,168,834
Total Enterprise Value	157,711,243,332

Assumptions

Base FCF	4,048,000,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

47.4%

Full Kelly

23.7%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 73/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

57.25

RSI(14)

1.0556

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+4.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Energy)
RS New High	No (11d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-10.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	57.25	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.0556	BULLISH
Ma Cross	44.81 / 43.19	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.88x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	52.71
Bollinger Upper	50.42
SMA(200)	43.19
SMA(50)	44.81
SMA(20)	47.39
Current Price	48.06
Bollinger Lower	44.35
52-Week Low	31.47
ATR(14)	1.23

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.25x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.1x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	47.81	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	45.88	Base line
Senkou A	46.84	Leading span A
Senkou B	44.86	Leading span B
Cloud	44.86 – 46.84	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	48.06	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	45.13	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH