Devon Energy Corporation
DVN · Energy · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
47
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
54
Momentum
35
Fundamental
79
Macro
22
Liquidity
59
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 54.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 35.4 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 79.3 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 59.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 42.88 |
| Stop Loss | 39.48 (7.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 46.28 (+7.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 49.68 (+15.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.70 (4.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.40 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 88.9 | +1.55 | |
| Momentum | 35.4 | -0.58 | |
| Quality | 34.8 | -0.61 | |
| Composite | 53.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
4.60
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 10.7 | 10.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.2 | 1.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
124.67
vs
Market Price
42.88
Upside
+190.7%
| Margin of Safety | +65.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 27,044,412,608 |
| Terminal Value PV | 110,095,798,986 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 137,140,211,594 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,520,000,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
30.27%
Full Kelly
15.13%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 47/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
29.18
RSI(14)
-0.5652
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
60
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+5.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (4d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -10.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 29.18 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -0.5652 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 48.68 / 45.72 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.46x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 52.71 |
| Bollinger Upper | 54.26 |
| SMA(200) | 45.72 |
| SMA(50) | 48.68 |
| SMA(20) | 49.49 |
| Current Price | 42.88 |
| Bollinger Lower | 44.71 |
| 52-Week Low | 32.49 |
| ATR(14) | 1.7 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
58%
Sign of Weakness
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 1.5
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.18x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.46x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 47.54 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 47.54 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 47.54 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 47.54 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 47.54 – 47.54 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 42.88 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 47.16 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 44.71 – 54.26 | KC: 47.09 – 51.89
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 9 | |
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 9 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 44.15
Anchor: 2025-11-06 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-2.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/DVN
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 47.17B |
| P/E (TTM) | 10.72 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.17 |
| EPS | 4.00 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 68.7% |
| Profit Margin | 16.7% |
| ROE | 12.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 26.28 |
| Current Ratio | 0.70 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | N/A |
Trading Data
42.88
Open
42.88
Day High
42.88
Day Low
14.02M
Volume (1.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)