Ecolab Inc.

ECL · Basic Materials · · USD

279.28 USD

+0.00 (0.11%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 75

Momentum 55

Fundamental 83

Macro 64

Liquidity 48

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	75.1	30%
Momentum	54.7	15%
Fundamental	83.3	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	47.6	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	279.28
Stop Loss	267.76 (4.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	290.80 (+4.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	302.32 (+8.2%)

ATR(14)	5.76 (2.1%)
Risk per Share	11.52
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	27.7	-0.89
Momentum	54.7	+0.19
Quality	49.1	-0.04
Composite	43.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 5.27 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	37.4	18.0	+108% above
P/B Ratio	7.8	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.1%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

127.59

Market Price

279.28

Upside

-54.3%

Margin of Safety	-118.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	8,527,552,802
Terminal Value PV	27,240,017,616
Total Enterprise Value	35,767,570,418

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,673,001,103
Growth Rate (5yr)	9.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

45.32%

Full Kelly

22.66%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 69/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

47.23

RSI(14)

0.91

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+3.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+9.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	47.23	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.91	BEARISH
Ma Cross	278.81 / 271.97	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.73x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	309.27
Bollinger Upper	291.06
SMA(200)	271.97
SMA(50)	278.81
SMA(20)	282.29
Current Price	279.28
Bollinger Lower	273.51
52-Week Low	243.15
ATR(14)	5.76

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.09x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.66x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.73x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	285.29	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	284.06	Base line
Senkou A	284.67	Leading span A
Senkou B	278.41	Leading span B
Cloud	278.41 – 284.67	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	279.28	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	277.63	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL